Decider’s 2015 Oscar Nominee Predictions

Bright and early tomorrow, The Academy announces the nominees for the 87th annual Academy Awards taking place on Sunday, February 22. Nominees will be read by Academy President Cheryl Boone Isaacs, Chris Pine, Alfonso Cuarón, and J.J. Abrams. After the results of the Golden Globe Awards Sunday evening, we think we have a pretty good idea of who will certainly be nominated and who might get snubbed. Here’s who we think will take home the little gold man that night. If you still need to catch up on awards season contenders, we’ve highlighted where titles are available on streaming.

BEST PICTURE

Birdman  [Pre-order the Birdman on iTunes]
Boyhood [Where to stream Boyhood]
The Grand Budapest Hotel [Where to stream The Grand Budapest Hotel]
Gone Girl [Where to stream Gone Girl]
The Imitation Game
Selma
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash

If the Golden Globes have taught us anything it’s that the film that wins Best Picture will definitely get nominated for the Oscar for Best Picture — and it’ll have a good chance at winning the top prize. Although Boyhood won the Globe (and it’s a masterpiece), it doesn’t mean the Academy will give the gold man to a slow-burning coming-of-age film with no sociopolitical subtext.

BEST DIRECTOR

Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel  [Where to stream The Grand Budapest Hotel]
Ava DuVernay, Selma
Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman [Pre-order the Birdman on iTunes]
Richard Linklater, Boyhood [Where to stream Boyhood]
Morten Tyldum, The Imitation Game

If the Academy doesn’t hand Linklater the Oscar this year, prepare for some Raging Bull-esque uproar that spilled over into the new millennium. Think about it, guys: do you really want to hear about how you snubbed the movie that took twelve years to make for the rest of your life?

BEST ACTOR

Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
Michael Keaton, Birdman [Pre-order the Birdman on iTunes]
David Oyelowo, Selma
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

Keaton has been a shoo-in since before Birdman was released wide. The only suprise could be Eddie Redmayne winning for his portrayal of Stephen Hawking in The Theory of Everything; he did, after all, take the prize at the Golden Globes. Jake Gyllenhaal will be snubbed to make room for Oyelowo and Carell, but after Prisoners, Enemy, and now Nightcrawler, the former pretty boy, who has made waves as a dark and stormy screen presence, will definitely be acknowledged in awards seasons to come.

BEST ACTRESS

Jennifer Aniston, Cake
Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl [Where to stream Gone Girl]
Reese Witherspoon, Wild

This is all but a guarantee for Julianne Moore, who, if nominated, will have been on the ballot five times now. Amy Adams could sneak her way into the mix and possibly bump Aniston out for her performance in Big Eyes, but if Aniston’s cutthroat campaign team has anything to do with it, it’s highly unlikely.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Robert Duvall, The Judge [Where to stream The Judge]
Ethan Hawke, Boyhood [Where to stream Boyhood]
Edward Norton, Birdman [Pre-order the Birdman on iTunes]
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash 

Simmons was downright terrifying as Terence Fletcher, a brilliant but abusive instructor and easily outperformed everyone in this category. Plus, the dude deserves it, he’s been around forever and just keeps getting better with age.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Patricia Arquette, Boyhood [Where to stream Boyhood]
Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
Emma Stone, Birdman [Pre-order the Birdman on iTunes]
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Arquette might get bumped by the youngin’ Emma Stone, but she’s already got the Globe and the odds are definitely in her favor.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel  [Where to stream The Grand Budapest Hotel]
Paul Webb, Selma
Dan Gilroy, Nightcrawler
Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, and Armando Bo, Birdman 
Richard Linklater, Boyhood [Where to stream Boyhood]

The Academy isn’t ready to give Anderson anything more than a nom and a pat on the back for writing another brilliant script, so it’s either going to Iñárritu and Co. or Linklater.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Jason Hall, American Sniper
Gillian Flynn, Gone Girl [Where to stream Gone Girl]
Andrew Hodges, The Imitation Game
Nick Hornby, Wild
Anthony McCarten, The Theory of Everything

They have to give the movie about war, discrimination, and suicide something, which is why we expect The Imitation Game to nab this one. After all, P.T. Anderson has always been too weird for Hollywood (which is why we won’t see Inherent Vice here), and the Academy despises anything David Fincher touches except when he plays by their rules (see The Social Network as written by Aaron Sorkin).

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Big Hero 6 [Where to stream Big Hero 6]
The Boxtrolls [Where to stream The Boxtrolls]
How to Train Your Dragon 2 [Where to stream How to Train Your Dragon 2]
The LEGO Movie [Where to stream The LEGO Movie]
The Tale of Princess Kaguya

Just about everyone in Hollywood voiced at least one character in The LEGO Movie, it’s a no-brainer — although How to Train Your Dragon 2 pulled a fast one at the Globes, so anything could happen.

BEST FOREIGN FILM

Force Majeure [Where to stream Force Majeure]
Ida [Where to stream Ida]
Leviathan
Timbuktu
Wild Tales

Ida is a black and white tale about nunnery, sexism, and class struggle. It might as well be translated into Oscar bait. But Leviathan is gaining steam after the Globes, so the nuns better watch out.

BEST DOCUMENTARY

The Case Against 8 [Stream on HBO Go]
Citizenfour
Keep On Keepin’ On [Where to stream Keep On Keepin’ On]
Life Itself 
Virunga [Stream on Netflix]

Hollywood is all for free speech these days, so things are looking bright for the Edward Snowden doc, Citizenfour.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Jeff Cronenweth, Gone Girl [Where to stream Gone Girl]
Roger Deakins, Unbroken 
Hoyte Van Hoytema, Interstellar
Emmanuel Lubeski, Birdman [Pre-order the Birdman on iTunes]
Robert D. Yeoman, The Grand Budapest Hotel [Where to stream The Grand Budapest Hotel]

Let’s take a moment to acknowledge and appreciate the brilliance that is Bradford Young. He was cinematographer for both A Most Violent Violent Year and Selma and, before that, Ava DuVernay’s family drama Middle of Nowhere and Dee Rees’ harrowing Pariah. The man is a reincarnation of Nestor Almendros (Sophie’s Choice, Days of Heaven), but dare I say, better. Unfortunately, it looks like he might be doubly snubbed this year, but Hollywood should wake up and see the cinematographer of a generation arrived on the scene some time ago.

 

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Photos: Everett Collection