Wars and Politics of Ice and Fire

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See, that’s what the app is perfect for.

Sounds perfect Wahhhh, I don’t wanna

Anonymous asked:

I'm reading a book about the Hundred Years War in which the King of France destroys bridges over rivers to prevent Edward III from maneuvering. How would bridges and other such structures have been destroyed before gunpowder?

If the bridge is a wood bridge or has wood supports, then you could burn it by placing bales of straw and pitch to help the structure catch fire (you can just try and set the bridge itself on fire but it’s good practice to have plenty of kindling and accelerants on the bridge to ensure a quick and effective burn). If it’s stone, knock out the keystones under the arches and break supports so it crumbles.

Thanks for the question, Anon.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

engineering

Anonymous asked:

When Arya and the Hound travel to Lord Harroway's Town, they find it flooded to the point to the point that only the roofs are visible. What could the Rootes build to prevent this sort of flooding ever happening again?

When you live in a floodplain, the best recourse is building at higher elevation well above the average tide point. Failing that, building on piers or pilings is the best recourse.

Thanks for the question, Anon.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

architecture

cle-guy asked:

I’ve always thought Walder Frey would die of old age, perhaps even under Tyrion’s quip just older. The moral being that people don’t always face their just comeuppance, is that unlikely?

Anything’s possible. GRRM has not shied away from saying that bad people sometimes get away with everything they do and that good deeds are sometimes not only not rewarded, but actively punished. But I think GRRM’s sensibilities on the Red Wedding, on the sheer depravity of it, will not only have the event ripple outwards (as has already been discussed in the books - arguably A Feast For Crows’s Riverlands chapters were all about exploring the fallout of the Red Wedding) but ripple back to the perpetrators.

Thanks for the question, Cle-Guy.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

walder frey red wedding

cynicalclassicist asked:

I've been wondering about the old weasel's fate and am wondering if it's that plausible that he'll be at Riverrun, where the Brotherhood without Banners will likely launch their attack, considering that it might be difficult for him to travel from The Twins to Riverrun at his age when winter has come. Do you think that Walder Frey might die of shock from hearing of the destruction of his forces in the North and at Riverrun or would that be too anti-climatic and he might be killed another way at the Twins?

From a storytelling perspective, having Walder Frey directly face his own comeuppance for the Red Wedding is satisfying, but I agree, realistically speaking Walder would be unlikely to make the trip if the winter is really bad. Just having him die of shock doesn’t feel visceral enough. So maybe the Blackfish will break out Greatjon and Walder will be on the business end of the Red Wedding’s retribution at the Twins.

Thanks for the question, CC.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

walder frey predictions
cynicalclassicist

bigbadbruin343 asked:

What do you make of Ukraine's incursion into Russia, and what do you think their objective is?

warsofasoiaf answered:

I think their primary objectives are:

  1. Incite panic in the Russian lines. Having the enemy penetrate your home territory while you’re away creates panic, and can potentially provoke an ill-advised relief effort that either gets friendly fire (not hard with Russia and their notoriously inaccurate artillery) or causes the lost of significant assets.
  2. Create a morale boost at home. It’s humiliating to have such a small country take territory. Especially Kursk, which was the site of a famous Soviet victory in the Second World War.
  3. Threaten the Sudhza gas hub. With the lost of Nordstream 2, the Sudzha gas hub is the major Gazprom thoroughfare into Europe. If Ukraine destroys or damages it, it severely impacts Russian gas exports and damages Russian logistics in that theater.

Thanks for the question, Bruin.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

cynicalclassicist

So... some good news for Ukraine then.

warsofasoiaf

If Ukraine can destroy some Russian air assets, even better.

-SLAL

cle-guy asked:

If the goal of Ukraine's offensive in Russia is to force a peace with a territory swap, is this realistically enough to regain the territory they've lost in the Donbas? I feel like the territory they've captured is too small for them to gain that much leverage? Or is the size of the territory not that relevant?

Territory isn’t just in area, but in the utility it has to each side. Every day that Ukraine holds Russian territory undermines Putin in a way that Russians holding territory in Ukraine doesn’t undermine Zelenskyy. Putin sold himself as the new bastion of Russian stability from the chaos of the Yeltsin years. To have a foreign nation hold Russian territory is to say to the Russian people that you allowed him to plunder your country and the stability and security he provided was just a lie. So in that, the threat that a foreign invasion holds to Putin might make it worth it.

Thanks for the question, Cle-Guy.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

russo ukrainian war ukraine russia

ekendall95 asked:

What do you think was the attitude towards Dorne by Aenys and Maegor?

There were no large-scale open wars.

Aenys had to deal with the Vulture King, but the text suggests that he had tried to work with the Martells to contain this “outlaw.” So there was at least some amount of diplomatic cordiality, even if it’s fairly obvious that House Martell was using the Vulture King as a deniable asset against the Seven Kingdoms.

Maegor seemed to have other problems to deal with, and figured he’d handle Dorne at a later time.

Thanks for the question, Ekendall.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

dorne aenys targaryen maegor targaryen

Anonymous asked:

Was it harder to obtain knighthood in RL than in the world of ice and fire?

Any knight can make a knight in ASOIAF. However, in our own history, knighthoods could be bought, thought if you could afford that, you could also afford a horse and weapons training. I would say that in theory, ASOIAF knighthood is easier to get in to.

Thanks for the question, Anon.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

knighthood knight laws and customs
cynicalclassicist

Anonymous asked:

So Kamala picked Walz. What are your thoughts on the decision and him?

warsofasoiaf answered:

Anonymous asked: What do you think of Tim Walz?

From what little I know of him, I doubt I’d like him very much. I’ve made no secret of my disdain for economic populism. It’s long on babble, short on substance, and heavy on popular-but-stupid policy, so I doubt he’d offer much of anything from an economic policy perspective. Foreign policy-wise, he’s fine on Ukraine but doesn’t actually push for a revitalization of defense manufacturing to actually win the war in Ukraine’s favor. He’s soft on China, bog-standard condemnations of human rights that I expect out of pretty much every American politician these days.

The Harris campaign’s strategy seems to be picking him as a November vice - helping bolster progressives who might be turned off by Harris and using Walz’s brand as a Midwestern Dad to counter claims that Harris is an “out-of-touch West Coast elite.” From a policy perspective, Walz has little to offer, so it appears that the Harris campaign is picking him solely to energize the 2024 voting campaign to deliver victory, rather than an effective administrator to be delegated tasks in a victorious administration after.

Whether that’s a good idea or not, I can’t say - I’m not the guy that the Harris campaign (or the Trump campaign) is targeting for their electoral strategy. Policy is a snoozer, it doesn’t turn out the vote. Most people like to say they care about policy, but in the vast majority of circumstances, that’s untrue. People vote based on culture and rationalize the economic and policy justifications post-facto. For someone like me, who has no political culture in the modern American political scene, we’re statistically insignificant and thus, not worth pursuing from a mathematical sense. So take that bias into account. I’m not a vibes guy, and elections are vibes-based.

Thanks for the question, Anon.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

cynicalclassicist

I think that he is appealing outwards and seems a safe pick, if I'm being cynical. Unfortunately, a lot of the voter base don't care enough about foreign policy.

warsofasoiaf

It is definitely true that voters by and large don’t care about foreign policy, which is a shame because it’s one element where the executive branch (and the President in particular) has an outsized role in crafting. Unfortunately, Walz is largely unimpressive here. Walz offers the tired “however long it takes” line on Ukraine, but seems unwilling to discuss pushing forward the expansion of the defense industrial sector to crank out military materiel that would enable a Ukrainian victory. And lest anyone say “he’s a governor, that’s not really his bailiwick,” I’ll point out that he has discussed agricultural partnerships with Ukraine. So whether it is or not, he seems to be looking at stage four when we’re still in stage two. He’s better than JD Vance who seems to all but salivate at the idea of Ukraine being put under Putin’s thumb, but I’m sick of “however long it takes” when the real issue is “however much it takes,” especially when that “much” has such a positive ROI.

But Walz does have one thing really going for him that I undersold him on - he’s a hardcore YIMBY. While federal policy has a small effect on housing (his efforts to push for single-staircase apartment complexes is laudable though), he has the basis to push for energy policy in a big way. Unlike a lot of clean-energy progressives, Walz is pro-nuclear power which is very welcome. If we want a feasible and effective energy transition, we’re going to need nuclear in addition to renewables along with investments in batteries. The infrastructure plans we’ve put in place for EV chargers have been massively expensive and have put few chargers in play. EV’s are already unpopular due to the price tag, but without plentiful chargers, they’re going to be out of reach for the majority of Americans. Walz appears a whole lot less interested in *talking* about energy as opposed to *building* a new energy infrastructure which is very good.

Economically, he strikes me as a guy that’s going to engage in protectionism. Given how aggressively he courted the United Steelworkers endorsement, he’s almost certainly going to act to block the Nippon Steel deal which is a victory for the rent-seekers and a loss for the US economy as a whole. Hopefully I’m wrong on that, but I doubt that I am. Permitting reform at the federal level is a different beast than at the state level and the stakeholders who benefit from slow builds and dysfunction are different. So here’s hoping he doesn’t have much impact on economic policy, or he takes a better turn instead of seeking out the narrow interest of his donors.

On the campaign trail, he looks to be injecting a strong sense of optimism. Pretty much every observer says that the campaign energy has changed within the past month and Walz is definitely a part of it. The actual turnaround is truly remarkable, this 2024 election will probably be studied for the sheer reversals.

But that being said, he made a pretty big gaffe a few days ago when he said: “one person’s socialism is another person’s neighborliness.” I understand what he was probably trying to do - resurrect the old Harry Truman line when he was giving his speech in Syracuse in 1952. However, Walz has two problems on this regard. The first is just timing - socialism was in the public eye recently because Maduro blatantly stole an election in Venezuela and is at this very moment jailing protesters and opposition figures. Even if Walz didn’t mean to sound like he was defending Maduro’s electoral fraud (and I’m certain he didn’t), it comes across as remarkably tone-deaf at best.

The second is, well, frankly, he doesn’t have the credibility that someone like Truman would have. By the time of Truman’s speech, HST had forcefully articulated the Truman Doctrine for almost five years in fighting for European sovereignty free from the Soviet Union. By contrast, progressives have been whitewashing bad behavior for socialist politicians for a long while now - Bernie Sanders compared Ortega’s shuttering of opposition press exposing the Sandinista killings of the Rana and Miskito people to shutting down Nazi publications, Jeremy Corbyn was feted by the Squad even after being expelled by the Labour Party for championing anti-Semitism, Chavez and Maduro were darlings even as they sponsored terrorism in South America and drove their countries into economic ruin. It doesn’t even have to be a socialist politician, the DSA is actively pro-Putin and pro-Xi, to a startling lack of condemnation from American progressive politicians.

To me, that suggests a lack of judgement. Without a whole lot of exposure on the national stage, these early steps matter, and to me, it was a mind-numbingly *stupid* action. It looks like he’s falling into the trap most progressives fall into, the reflexive tribal need to defend the cause to assert a sense of superiority. That doesn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence.

-SLAL

tim walz modern politics

Anonymous asked:

What is the most likely endgame for Euron Greyjoy? Does he actually end up summoning a big eldritch kablooie but foolishly gets caught in it and dies? Do all his rituals turn out to be nonsense and the ironborn longships get simply curbstomped by the larger Tyrell and Redwyne dromonds and the Iron Islands are never made great again? Or does he manage to summon Cthulhu/krakens and ASOIAF turns out to be a kaiju novel all along?

He’s not going to fizzle out, but I don’t see him sharing top billing with the Others. I think he’ll kill lots of Reachmen and Ironborn alike, hence the vision of the ships burning on the water.

Thanks for the question, Anon.

SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King

euron greyjoy predictions