NewtekOne's (NASDAQ:NEWT) earnings have declined over three years, contributing to shareholders 48% loss

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NewtekOne, Inc. (NASDAQ:NEWT) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 20% in the last quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 61% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

The recent uptick of 10% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for NewtekOne

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

NewtekOne saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 23% per year, over the last three years. This fall in EPS isn't far from the rate of share price decline, which was 27% per year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time, despite the disappointment. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
earnings-per-share-growth

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on NewtekOne's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for NewtekOne the TSR over the last 3 years was -48%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

NewtekOne shareholders are down 14% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 24%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 0.5%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand NewtekOne better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that NewtekOne is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...

NewtekOne is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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