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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

For the 2024 cycle, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Generic ballot, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug. 4-6
1,413RV
Aug. 4-6
1,413RV
Democrat
45%
Democrat
45%

Democrat

45%

Republican

44%
44%
Republican  Democrat+1
Aug. 1-4
1,513RV
Aug. 1-4
1,513RV
Democrat
47%
Democrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

45%
45%
Republican  Democrat+2
July 31-Aug. 4
1,001RV
July 31-Aug. 4
1,001RV
Democrat
44%
Democrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

47%
47%
Republican  Republican+3
July 24-Aug. 1
683LV
July 24-Aug. 1
683LV
Democrat
52%
Democrat
52%

Democrat

52%

Republican

48%
48%
Republican  Democrat+4
July 24-Aug. 1
879RV
July 24-Aug. 1
879RV
Democrat
52%
Democrat
52%

Democrat

52%

Republican

48%
48%
Republican  Democrat+4
July 29-31
3,000RV
July 29-31
3,000RV
Democrat
47%
Democrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

47%
47%
Republican  Even
July 27-30
1,434RV
July 27-30
1,434RV
Democrat
46%
Democrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

44%
44%
Republican  Democrat+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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