All Contents Copyright © 2019 Jeff Sagarintm. All rights reserved.
just click on "Predictions_with_Totals" and it will take you to the daily predictions at bottom of file
Final COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2018 through results of 2019 JANUARY 7 MONDAY - National Championship Game
this output has two parts: (1) CONFERENCE AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically)
(2) teams listed by CONFERENCE
(listed in order within conferences)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 255 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
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The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
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GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
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The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
Conference Rankings
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
1 SEC-WEST (A) = 83.24 82.49 ( 1) 7 82.97 ( 1)
2 SEC-EAST (A) = 79.90 79.96 ( 2) 7 79.91 ( 2)
3 BIG TEN-EAST (A) = 78.52 77.77 ( 3) 7 78.40 ( 3)
4 PAC-12(NORTH) (A) = 77.77 76.49 ( 6) 6 77.37 ( 5)
5 BIG 12 (A) = 77.35 77.51 ( 4) 10 77.47 ( 4)
6 ACC-ATLANTIC (A) = 76.36 77.07 ( 5) 7 76.15 ( 6)
7 BIG TEN-WEST (A) = 76.26 75.72 ( 7) 7 76.11 ( 7)
8 ACC-COASTAL (A) = 74.02 73.45 ( 9) 7 73.57 ( 8)
9 PAC-12(SOUTH) (A) = 73.08 73.64 ( 8) 6 73.53 ( 9)
10 MWC-MOUNTAIN (A) = 66.86 66.91 ( 10) 6 66.86 ( 10)
11 AAC EAST (A) = 65.28 64.59 ( 11) 6 65.18 ( 11)
12 AAC WEST (A) = 63.84 64.27 ( 13) 6 64.17 ( 12)
13 I-A IND. (A) = 63.47 64.33 ( 12) 6 63.73 ( 13)
14 SUN BELT-EAST (A) = 62.77 62.72 ( 14) 5 62.73 ( 14)
15 MWC-WEST (A) = 61.00 62.17 ( 15) 6 61.30 ( 15)
16 MAC-WEST (A) = 60.83 60.32 ( 16) 6 60.47 ( 16)
17 CONF USA-EAST (A) = 59.30 58.92 ( 19) 7 58.99 ( 18)
18 MAC-EAST (A) = 59.18 59.48 ( 17) 6 59.36 ( 17)
19 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 57.79 59.21 ( 18) 10 58.28 ( 19)
20 CONF USA-WEST (A) = 55.55 55.10 ( 20) 7 55.36 ( 20)
21 SUN BELT-WEST (A) = 54.45 54.47 ( 21) 5 54.45 ( 21)
22 COLONIAL (AA)= 50.18 50.09 ( 22) 12 50.00 ( 22)
23 BIG SKY (AA)= 48.69 49.45 ( 23) 14 49.03 ( 23)
24 SOUTHERN (AA)= 46.19 45.40 ( 24) 9 45.91 ( 24)
25 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.50 44.85 ( 25) 8 44.65 ( 25)
26 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 42.11 42.04 ( 26) 9 42.21 ( 26)
27 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 41.76 41.14 ( 27) 11 41.47 ( 27)
28 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 34.40 35.49 ( 28) 6 34.22 ( 28)
29 NORTHEAST (AA)= 32.07 31.45 ( 30) 7 31.70 ( 29)
30 PATRIOT (AA)= 30.85 33.22 ( 29) 7 31.40 ( 30)
31 I-AA IND. (AA)= 30.83 30.83 ( 31) 2 30.83 ( 31)
32 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 30.35 30.73 ( 32) 10 30.41 ( 32)
33 SWAC-WEST (AA)= 29.03 27.91 ( 33) 5 28.54 ( 33)
34 SWAC-EAST (AA)= 24.35 24.46 ( 34) 5 24.33 ( 34)
35 PIONEER (AA)= 21.34 22.44 ( 35) 10 21.86 ( 35)
36 ***UNRATED*** (**) = -91.00 -91.00 ( 36) 1 -91.00 ( 36)
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
11 AAC EAST (A) = 65.28 64.59 ( 11) 6 65.18 ( 11)
12 AAC WEST (A) = 63.84 64.27 ( 13) 6 64.17 ( 12)
6 ACC-ATLANTIC (A) = 76.36 77.07 ( 5) 7 76.15 ( 6)
8 ACC-COASTAL (A) = 74.02 73.45 ( 9) 7 73.57 ( 8)
3 BIG TEN-EAST (A) = 78.52 77.77 ( 3) 7 78.40 ( 3)
7 BIG TEN-WEST (A) = 76.26 75.72 ( 7) 7 76.11 ( 7)
5 BIG 12 (A) = 77.35 77.51 ( 4) 10 77.47 ( 4)
17 CONF USA-EAST (A) = 59.30 58.92 ( 19) 7 58.99 ( 18)
20 CONF USA-WEST (A) = 55.55 55.10 ( 20) 7 55.36 ( 20)
18 MAC-EAST (A) = 59.18 59.48 ( 17) 6 59.36 ( 17)
16 MAC-WEST (A) = 60.83 60.32 ( 16) 6 60.47 ( 16)
10 MWC-MOUNTAIN (A) = 66.86 66.91 ( 10) 6 66.86 ( 10)
15 MWC-WEST (A) = 61.00 62.17 ( 15) 6 61.30 ( 15)
4 PAC-12(NORTH) (A) = 77.77 76.49 ( 6) 6 77.37 ( 5)
9 PAC-12(SOUTH) (A) = 73.08 73.64 ( 8) 6 73.53 ( 9)
2 SEC-EAST (A) = 79.90 79.96 ( 2) 7 79.91 ( 2)
1 SEC-WEST (A) = 83.24 82.49 ( 1) 7 82.97 ( 1)
14 SUN BELT-EAST (A) = 62.77 62.72 ( 14) 5 62.73 ( 14)
21 SUN BELT-WEST (A) = 54.45 54.47 ( 21) 5 54.45 ( 21)
13 I-A IND. (A) = 63.47 64.33 ( 12) 6 63.73 ( 13)
23 BIG SKY (AA)= 48.69 49.45 ( 23) 14 49.03 ( 23)
28 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 34.40 35.49 ( 28) 6 34.22 ( 28)
22 COLONIAL (AA)= 50.18 50.09 ( 22) 12 50.00 ( 22)
25 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.50 44.85 ( 25) 8 44.65 ( 25)
32 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 30.35 30.73 ( 32) 10 30.41 ( 32)
19 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 57.79 59.21 ( 18) 10 58.28 ( 19)
29 NORTHEAST (AA)= 32.07 31.45 ( 30) 7 31.70 ( 29)
26 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 42.11 42.04 ( 26) 9 42.21 ( 26)
30 PATRIOT (AA)= 30.85 33.22 ( 29) 7 31.40 ( 30)
35 PIONEER (AA)= 21.34 22.44 ( 35) 10 21.86 ( 35)
24 SOUTHERN (AA)= 46.19 45.40 ( 24) 9 45.91 ( 24)
27 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 41.76 41.14 ( 27) 11 41.47 ( 27)
34 SWAC-EAST (AA)= 24.35 24.46 ( 34) 5 24.33 ( 34)
33 SWAC-WEST (AA)= 29.03 27.91 ( 33) 5 28.54 ( 33)
31 I-AA IND. (AA)= 30.83 30.83 ( 31) 2 30.83 ( 31)
36 ***UNRATED*** (**) = -91.00 -91.00 ( 36) 1 -91.00 ( 36)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
By Conference
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
11 AAC EAST (A) = 65.28 64.59 ( 11) TEAMS= 6 65.18 ( 11)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
22 Central Florida(UCF) A = 82.18 12 1 63.92( 83) 0 0 | 0 1 | 81.69 23 | 83.46 18 | 85.37 14 AAC EAST
39 Cincinnati A = 76.41 11 2 62.89( 90) 0 0 | 0 1 | 76.23 41 | 75.35 45 | 77.03 37 AAC EAST
61 Temple A = 72.12 8 5 65.02( 77) 0 0 | 0 1 | 72.47 59 | 71.95 58 | 69.22 66 AAC EAST
102 South Florida A = 61.36 7 6 63.23( 88) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.81 101 | 64.14 90 | 57.62 114 AAC EAST
140 East Carolina A = 52.44 3 9 66.08( 73) 0 0 | 0 2 | 52.20 138 | 53.89 128 | 53.50 132 AAC EAST
180 Connecticut A = 43.01 1 11 66.54( 72) 0 0 | 0 3 | 43.21 178 | 45.02 173 | 40.79 196 AAC EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
12 AAC WEST (A) = 63.84 64.27 ( 13) TEAMS= 6 64.17 ( 12)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
53 Memphis A = 73.20 8 6 61.75( 103) 0 0 | 0 3 | 73.25 54 | 72.24 55 | 72.23 55 AAC WEST
74 Houston A = 68.36 8 5 62.54( 95) 0 0 | 0 0 | 68.53 73 | 69.43 71 | 66.58 81 AAC WEST
86 Tulane A = 65.22 7 6 65.15( 76) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.67 88 | 65.80 84 | 68.63 67 AAC WEST
104 SMU A = 60.72 5 7 66.95( 70) 0 1 | 0 2 | 60.64 105 | 61.47 102 | 60.64 104 AAC WEST
107 Navy A = 60.19 3 10 68.61( 66) 0 1 | 0 2 | 60.92 104 | 60.04 109 | 54.52 127 AAC WEST
113 Tulsa A = 57.91 3 9 63.77( 85) 0 0 | 0 1 | 58.56 111 | 56.16 116 | 52.73 140 AAC WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
6 ACC-ATLANTIC (A) = 76.36 77.07 ( 5) TEAMS= 7 76.15 ( 6)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
1 Clemson A = 103.16 15 0 75.13( 25) 2 0 | 5 0 | 102.42 1 | 103.64 1 | 110.31 1 ACC-ATLANTIC
28 Syracuse A = 79.45 10 3 70.81( 61) 0 2 | 2 2 | 78.58 32 | 80.01 29 | 86.45 13 ACC-ATLANTIC
30 NC State A = 79.13 9 4 69.84( 65) 0 1 | 0 3 | 79.65 27 | 79.77 30 | 75.35 44 ACC-ATLANTIC
38 Boston College A = 76.46 7 5 71.89( 55) 0 1 | 0 3 | 76.81 38 | 77.02 38 | 73.62 48 ACC-ATLANTIC
60 Wake Forest A = 72.32 7 6 72.53( 50) 0 2 | 1 3 | 71.39 63 | 73.08 53 | 79.57 31 ACC-ATLANTIC
67 Florida State A = 70.47 5 7 75.62( 16) 0 2 | 0 5 | 70.47 68 | 73.31 52 | 69.81 64 ACC-ATLANTIC
112 Louisville A = 58.48 2 10 75.78( 15) 0 2 | 0 5 | 59.03 110 | 61.91 99 | 53.96 129 ACC-ATLANTIC
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
8 ACC-COASTAL (A) = 74.02 73.45 ( 9) TEAMS= 7 73.57 ( 8)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
34 Miami-Florida A = 78.11 7 6 71.78( 57) 0 0 | 0 2 | 79.24 30 | 77.69 36 | 71.21 59 ACC-COASTAL
43 Virginia A = 75.98 8 5 69.93( 64) 0 0 | 0 1 | 75.49 45 | 75.02 47 | 79.01 33 ACC-COASTAL
48 Georgia Tech A = 75.12 7 6 71.21( 60) 0 2 | 0 2 | 75.36 47 | 74.01 51 | 72.93 50 ACC-COASTAL
49 Duke A = 74.67 8 5 73.58( 46) 0 1 | 0 1 | 74.74 50 | 76.27 41 | 73.55 49 ACC-COASTAL
50 Pittsburgh A = 74.36 7 7 77.42( 3) 0 2 | 1 5 | 74.19 51 | 75.91 43 | 74.89 45 ACC-COASTAL
64 Virginia Tech A = 71.19 6 7 71.26( 59) 0 1 | 0 1 | 71.53 62 | 71.87 59 | 68.35 70 ACC-COASTAL
90 North Carolina A = 64.75 2 9 72.44( 51) 0 0 | 0 2 | 65.93 81 | 63.09 94 | 56.49 118 ACC-COASTAL
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3 BIG TEN-EAST (A) = 78.52 77.77 ( 3) TEAMS= 7 78.40 ( 3)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
3 Ohio State A = 92.33 13 1 74.55( 38) 2 0 | 3 0 | 91.74 3 | 93.81 3 | 96.82 3 BIG TEN-EAST
6 Michigan A = 88.80 10 3 75.48( 20) 0 2 | 2 3 | 89.79 6 | 88.56 7 | 83.11 22 BIG TEN-EAST
11 Penn State A = 86.27 9 4 74.82( 33) 1 2 | 2 3 | 86.71 10 | 86.22 10 | 83.01 23 BIG TEN-EAST
33 Michigan State A = 78.14 7 6 75.86( 13) 0 2 | 2 2 | 78.46 33 | 80.20 27 | 75.52 42 BIG TEN-EAST
56 Maryland A = 72.67 5 7 75.52( 19) 0 3 | 1 4 | 73.28 53 | 72.15 57 | 68.18 71 BIG TEN-EAST
66 Indiana A = 70.74 5 7 75.26( 22) 0 3 | 0 4 | 71.54 61 | 70.35 68 | 65.08 84 BIG TEN-EAST
121 Rutgers A = 55.46 1 11 74.15( 42) 0 2 | 0 4 | 56.30 117 | 53.77 130 | 48.77 155 BIG TEN-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
7 BIG TEN-WEST (A) = 76.26 75.72 ( 7) TEAMS= 7 76.11 ( 7)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
10 Iowa A = 86.60 9 4 73.94( 44) 1 0 | 1 2 | 86.90 8 | 85.08 14 | 84.10 17 BIG TEN-WEST
25 Wisconsin A = 81.12 8 5 72.34( 52) 1 1 | 1 2 | 81.42 24 | 81.87 23 | 78.59 34 BIG TEN-WEST
32 Northwestern A = 78.37 9 5 76.79( 8) 1 3 | 3 3 | 77.57 35 | 80.06 28 | 84.51 16 BIG TEN-WEST
42 Minnesota A = 76.14 7 6 74.11( 43) 0 2 | 2 2 | 75.43 46 | 74.25 50 | 81.21 26 BIG TEN-WEST
47 Purdue A = 75.43 6 7 77.28( 4) 2 0 | 2 3 | 76.19 42 | 76.02 42 | 70.22 62 BIG TEN-WEST
54 Nebraska A = 73.01 4 8 75.26( 23) 0 3 | 0 4 | 73.06 55 | 71.72 62 | 72.06 56 BIG TEN-WEST
109 Illinois A = 59.37 4 8 71.78( 56) 0 1 | 0 3 | 59.09 109 | 61.83 100 | 60.72 103 BIG TEN-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5 BIG 12 (A) = 77.35 77.51 ( 4) TEAMS= 10 77.47 ( 4)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
5 Oklahoma A = 90.99 12 2 76.15( 12) 0 1 | 2 2 | 90.59 5 | 92.73 4 | 93.48 5 BIG 12
16 West Virginia A = 83.76 8 4 74.74( 36) 0 1 | 1 2 | 84.69 14 | 82.16 21 | 78.10 36 BIG 12
17 Texas A = 83.45 10 4 76.79( 7) 2 1 | 2 2 | 82.72 20 | 85.00 15 | 89.12 8 BIG 12
31 Oklahoma State A = 79.01 7 6 74.63( 37) 0 1 | 4 1 | 79.49 28 | 78.31 32 | 75.45 43 BIG 12
37 Iowa State A = 76.72 8 5 75.53( 18) 0 2 | 1 4 | 76.10 43 | 77.80 35 | 81.01 27 BIG 12
40 TCU A = 76.38 7 6 74.92( 30) 0 2 | 0 4 | 76.27 40 | 77.34 37 | 76.55 39 BIG 12
46 Texas Tech A = 75.62 5 7 74.40( 40) 0 1 | 0 3 | 76.94 37 | 73.01 54 | 67.62 75 BIG 12
52 Kansas State A = 73.59 5 7 75.30( 21) 0 2 | 0 4 | 73.36 52 | 75.13 46 | 74.60 46 BIG 12
62 Baylor A = 71.26 7 6 73.56( 47) 0 1 | 0 3 | 70.76 66 | 72.17 56 | 74.38 47 BIG 12
93 Kansas A = 64.31 3 9 73.68( 45) 0 1 | 0 3 | 64.84 86 | 61.23 105 | 60.13 108 BIG 12
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
17 CONF USA-EAST (A) = 59.30 58.92 ( 19) TEAMS= 7 58.99 ( 18)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
79 Marshall A = 66.29 9 4 59.75( 114) 0 0 | 0 1 | 66.02 80 | 67.21 78 | 67.61 76 CONF USA-EAST
91 Middle Tennessee A = 64.61 8 6 63.59( 86) 0 1 | 0 2 | 64.17 94 | 65.55 85 | 67.17 80 CONF USA-EAST
97 Florida Atlantic A = 62.65 5 7 62.43( 96) 0 1 | 0 2 | 62.70 98 | 63.34 92 | 61.66 98 CONF USA-EAST
99 Fla. International A = 62.42 9 4 56.75( 132) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.30 99 | 61.68 101 | 62.62 95 CONF USA-EAST
130 Western Kentucky A = 53.35 3 9 59.28( 115) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.08 132 | 52.58 137 | 54.58 126 CONF USA-EAST
137 Charlotte A = 52.59 5 7 61.10( 105) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.11 140 | 51.73 142 | 55.35 121 CONF USA-EAST
150 Old Dominion A = 50.52 4 8 57.47( 125) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.92 147 | 50.36 149 | 46.90 166 CONF USA-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
20 CONF USA-WEST (A) = 55.55 55.10 ( 20) TEAMS= 7 55.36 ( 20)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
73 UAB A = 68.78 11 3 57.37( 126) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.29 75 | 67.25 77 | 71.80 58 CONF USA-WEST
83 North Texas A = 65.55 9 4 56.04( 135) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.54 84 | 66.16 81 | 64.94 85 CONF USA-WEST
103 Louisiana Tech A = 61.09 8 5 57.58( 123) 0 1 | 0 2 | 60.99 103 | 62.25 97 | 61.21 102 CONF USA-WEST
108 Southern Miss A = 60.17 6 5 55.35( 140) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.07 107 | 58.76 111 | 60.20 106 CONF USA-WEST
169 UTSA A = 45.69 3 9 62.13( 98) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.79 169 | 47.95 161 | 44.32 181 CONF USA-WEST
178 Rice A = 43.41 2 11 60.45( 111) 0 0 | 0 1 | 43.44 177 | 42.43 184 | 42.52 188 CONF USA-WEST
188 UTEP A = 41.02 1 11 56.81( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.55 185 | 39.28 199 | 36.07 212 CONF USA-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
18 MAC-EAST (A) = 59.18 59.48 ( 17) TEAMS= 6 59.36 ( 17)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
55 Ohio A = 72.77 9 4 58.99( 117) 0 0 | 0 0 | 72.21 60 | 71.87 60 | 76.49 40 MAC-EAST
80 Buffalo A = 66.20 10 4 60.92( 108) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.25 79 | 67.30 76 | 65.23 83 MAC-EAST
85 Miami-Ohio A = 65.30 6 6 64.15( 80) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.57 90 | 63.93 91 | 70.14 63 MAC-EAST
132 Akron A = 53.21 4 8 63.95( 82) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.91 129 | 53.23 135 | 47.36 162 MAC-EAST
154 Bowling Green A = 50.10 3 9 63.10( 89) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.72 153 | 51.18 147 | 52.14 143 MAC-EAST
157 Kent State A = 49.30 2 10 62.86( 91) 0 0 | 0 1 | 49.68 154 | 47.74 162 | 45.86 173 MAC-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
16 MAC-WEST (A) = 60.83 60.32 ( 16) TEAMS= 6 60.47 ( 16)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
75 Toledo A = 67.99 7 6 60.00( 112) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.48 74 | 66.55 79 | 64.14 87 MAC-WEST
84 Northern Illinois A = 65.48 8 6 66.84( 71) 0 1 | 0 2 | 65.80 82 | 67.33 75 | 62.63 94 MAC-WEST
92 Eastern Michigan A = 64.53 7 6 61.04( 107) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.49 91 | 63.27 93 | 64.13 88 MAC-WEST
106 Western Michigan A = 60.26 7 6 62.69( 93) 0 1 | 0 2 | 60.54 106 | 62.11 98 | 57.65 113 MAC-WEST
133 Ball State A = 53.03 4 8 62.20( 97) 0 1 | 0 1 | 53.27 130 | 51.59 144 | 50.71 148 MAC-WEST
149 Central Michigan A = 50.65 1 11 62.77( 92) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.60 144 | 48.75 157 | 42.58 187 MAC-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
10 MWC-MOUNTAIN (A) = 66.86 66.91 ( 10) TEAMS= 6 66.86 ( 10)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
27 Utah State A = 79.47 11 2 59.99( 113) 0 0 | 0 1 | 79.25 29 | 77.96 34 | 80.36 29 MWC-MOUNTAIN
29 Boise State A = 79.21 10 3 68.00( 68) 0 0 | 2 1 | 78.99 31 | 79.15 31 | 80.19 30 MWC-MOUNTAIN
77 Air Force A = 67.21 5 7 63.81( 84) 0 0 | 0 2 | 67.78 76 | 64.53 88 | 62.85 92 MWC-MOUNTAIN
81 Wyoming A = 66.00 6 6 65.55( 75) 0 0 | 0 5 | 65.63 83 | 66.30 80 | 68.04 72 MWC-MOUNTAIN
122 Colorado State A = 55.25 3 9 65.97( 74) 0 0 | 0 3 | 55.62 120 | 55.98 118 | 51.91 145 MWC-MOUNTAIN
128 New Mexico A = 54.35 3 9 64.14( 81) 0 0 | 0 4 | 54.53 125 | 54.50 124 | 52.37 142 MWC-MOUNTAIN
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
15 MWC-WEST (A) = 61.00 62.17 ( 15) TEAMS= 6 61.30 ( 15)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
21 Fresno State A = 82.36 12 2 64.84( 78) 0 0 | 1 1 | 82.05 22 | 80.80 26 | 83.99 18 MWC-WEST
88 Nevada A = 65.05 8 5 62.69( 94) 0 0 | 0 2 | 64.64 89 | 64.15 89 | 67.40 78 MWC-WEST
94 San Diego State A = 63.61 7 6 64.72( 79) 0 0 | 1 2 | 63.64 95 | 66.03 83 | 62.81 93 MWC-WEST
117 Hawai'i A = 56.11 8 6 61.76( 102) 0 0 | 0 2 | 56.19 118 | 57.70 113 | 54.88 123 MWC-WEST
126 UNLV A = 54.49 4 8 62.08( 100) 0 0 | 0 2 | 54.61 124 | 53.78 129 | 52.99 136 MWC-WEST
145 San Jose State A = 51.42 1 11 68.27( 67) 0 0 | 0 3 | 51.88 141 | 49.27 154 | 47.36 161 MWC-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4 PAC-12(NORTH) (A) = 77.77 76.49 ( 6) TEAMS= 6 77.37 ( 5)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
9 Washington A = 87.05 10 4 75.85( 14) 0 1 | 4 2 | 86.72 9 | 88.43 8 | 88.94 10 PAC-12(NORTH)
20 Washington State A = 83.22 11 2 72.18( 53) 0 1 | 2 1 | 82.93 18 | 83.08 19 | 84.72 15 PAC-12(NORTH)
24 Stanford A = 81.37 9 4 74.77( 35) 0 2 | 0 4 | 81.33 25 | 82.72 20 | 80.97 28 PAC-12(NORTH)
35 Oregon A = 78.00 9 4 70.73( 63) 1 0 | 1 3 | 78.10 34 | 78.00 33 | 76.73 38 PAC-12(NORTH)
59 California A = 72.37 7 6 72.02( 54) 1 0 | 1 2 | 72.98 56 | 71.76 61 | 67.89 73 PAC-12(NORTH)
115 Oregon State A = 56.96 2 10 75.10( 27) 0 2 | 0 4 | 57.35 114 | 57.58 114 | 53.54 131 PAC-12(NORTH)
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
9 PAC-12(SOUTH) (A) = 73.08 73.64 ( 8) TEAMS= 6 73.53 ( 9)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
23 Utah A = 82.05 9 5 75.13( 26) 0 2 | 1 3 | 82.61 21 | 81.54 24 | 78.11 35 PAC-12(SOUTH)
45 Arizona State A = 75.63 7 6 73.44( 48) 0 1 | 1 3 | 75.52 44 | 74.30 49 | 75.73 41 PAC-12(SOUTH)
51 Southern California A = 74.11 5 7 74.33( 41) 0 1 | 1 4 | 74.93 49 | 74.93 48 | 68.53 68 PAC-12(SOUTH)
65 Arizona A = 70.74 5 7 70.78( 62) 0 0 | 0 2 | 70.37 69 | 71.11 65 | 72.83 52 PAC-12(SOUTH)
71 UCLA A = 69.76 3 9 77.88( 1) 0 2 | 0 5 | 69.99 71 | 69.44 70 | 67.59 77 PAC-12(SOUTH)
72 Colorado A = 69.55 5 7 71.65( 58) 0 1 | 0 3 | 70.66 67 | 69.26 72 | 62.16 96 PAC-12(SOUTH)
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2 SEC-EAST (A) = 79.90 79.96 ( 2) TEAMS= 7 79.91 ( 2)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
4 Georgia A = 91.50 11 3 76.63( 10) 0 1 | 4 3 | 91.56 4 | 91.06 5 | 90.51 6 SEC-EAST
13 Florida A = 85.21 10 3 74.83( 32) 2 1 | 3 3 | 84.65 15 | 84.84 16 | 89.08 9 SEC-EAST
18 Missouri A = 83.43 8 5 75.24( 24) 0 2 | 1 3 | 83.30 17 | 82.13 22 | 83.69 20 SEC-EAST
26 Kentucky A = 80.44 10 3 74.80( 34) 1 1 | 4 2 | 80.23 26 | 81.14 25 | 81.28 25 SEC-EAST
41 South Carolina A = 76.31 7 6 75.60( 17) 0 2 | 1 5 | 77.10 36 | 76.47 40 | 71.01 60 SEC-EAST
57 Vanderbilt A = 72.62 6 7 73.18( 49) 0 2 | 0 5 | 72.51 57 | 71.08 66 | 72.75 53 SEC-EAST
69 Tennessee A = 70.22 5 7 77.64( 2) 0 2 | 2 5 | 70.19 70 | 70.90 67 | 69.78 65 SEC-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
1 SEC-WEST (A) = 83.24 82.49 ( 1) TEAMS= 7 82.97 ( 1)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
2 Alabama A = 101.44 14 1 76.68( 9) 3 1 | 7 1 | 101.30 2 | 102.06 2 | 101.81 2 SEC-WEST
8 Mississippi State A = 87.32 8 5 76.31( 11) 0 2 | 2 5 | 87.83 7 | 85.28 13 | 83.71 19 SEC-WEST
12 Texas A&M A = 85.68 9 4 77.03( 6) 0 3 | 3 4 | 85.34 12 | 85.66 11 | 87.58 11 SEC-WEST
14 LSU A = 85.16 10 3 77.24( 5) 2 1 | 4 3 | 84.50 16 | 87.32 9 | 90.15 7 SEC-WEST
15 Auburn A = 84.97 8 5 74.99( 28) 1 3 | 2 4 | 85.13 13 | 85.38 12 | 83.39 21 SEC-WEST
68 Mississippi A = 70.35 5 7 74.53( 39) 0 2 | 0 5 | 70.96 65 | 71.26 64 | 65.80 82 SEC-WEST
98 Arkansas A = 62.49 2 10 74.94( 29) 0 2 | 0 6 | 63.26 97 | 61.44 103 | 56.64 116 SEC-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
14 SUN BELT-EAST (A) = 62.77 62.72 ( 14) TEAMS= 5 62.73 ( 14)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
36 Appalachian State A = 77.09 11 2 57.11( 129) 0 0 | 0 1 | 76.70 39 | 75.62 44 | 79.31 32 SUN BELT-EAST
76 Troy A = 67.24 10 3 58.17( 120) 0 0 | 0 1 | 66.49 78 | 68.88 73 | 72.43 54 SUN BELT-EAST
82 Georgia Southern A = 65.86 10 3 56.69( 133) 0 1 | 0 1 | 65.42 85 | 66.10 82 | 68.44 69 SUN BELT-EAST
141 Coastal Carolina A = 52.40 5 7 60.55( 110) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.68 136 | 53.89 127 | 49.68 152 SUN BELT-EAST
147 Georgia State A = 51.01 2 10 63.48( 87) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.50 146 | 51.20 146 | 46.73 168 SUN BELT-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
21 SUN BELT-WEST (A) = 54.45 54.47 ( 21) TEAMS= 5 54.45 ( 21)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
87 Arkansas State A = 65.08 8 5 57.92( 121) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.70 87 | 65.17 86 | 67.25 79 SUN BELT-WEST
111 Louisiana A = 58.59 7 7 60.84( 109) 0 2 | 0 2 | 58.28 112 | 58.03 112 | 60.17 107 SUN BELT-WEST
118 ULM A = 55.97 6 6 59.13( 116) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.11 121 | 57.28 115 | 61.61 99 SUN BELT-WEST
162 South Alabama A = 47.17 3 9 61.88( 101) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.99 162 | 47.55 164 | 47.80 158 SUN BELT-WEST
171 Texas State A = 45.53 3 9 55.90( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.23 172 | 44.09 175 | 46.94 165 SUN BELT-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
13 I-A IND. (A) = 63.47 64.33 ( 12) TEAMS= 6 63.73 ( 13)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
7 Notre Dame A = 87.43 12 1 74.84( 31) 1 1 | 3 1 | 86.66 11 | 90.40 6 | 93.85 4 I-A IND.
44 Army West Point A = 75.83 11 2 62.12( 99) 0 1 | 0 1 | 75.00 48 | 76.72 39 | 82.16 24 I-A IND.
63 BYU A = 71.20 7 6 67.94( 69) 0 1 | 1 4 | 71.15 64 | 69.83 69 | 70.95 61 I-A IND.
138 Massachusetts A = 52.50 4 8 61.32( 104) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.37 137 | 52.14 139 | 52.77 139 I-A IND.
139 Liberty A = 52.48 6 6 57.49( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.64 143 | 52.70 136 | 57.78 112 I-A IND.
166 New Mexico State A = 46.53 3 9 58.52( 119) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.48 167 | 48.46 159 | 46.21 172 I-A IND.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
23 BIG SKY (AA)= 48.69 49.45 ( 23) TEAMS= 14 49.03 ( 23)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
70 Eastern Washington AA = 70.13 12 3 53.16( 143) 0 0 | 0 2 | 69.67 72 | 68.65 74 | 72.91 51 BIG SKY
101 UC Davis AA = 61.86 10 3 52.06( 146) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.61 102 | 61.38 104 | 63.01 91 BIG SKY
110 Weber State AA = 58.79 10 3 50.13( 154) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.94 113 | 60.88 107 | 64.41 86 BIG SKY
134 Montana State AA = 52.77 8 5 51.58( 149) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.85 142 | 53.67 131 | 58.66 110 BIG SKY
135 Montana AA = 52.77 6 5 48.04( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.78 135 | 52.36 138 | 52.04 144 BIG SKY
153 North Dakota AA = 50.15 6 5 46.65( 176) 0 1 | 0 1 | 50.51 150 | 50.29 150 | 46.80 167 BIG SKY
155 Idaho State AA = 49.58 6 5 52.58( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.53 155 | 49.17 155 | 49.34 153 BIG SKY
167 Northern Arizona AA = 46.51 4 6 49.62( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.72 165 | 46.99 169 | 44.32 180 BIG SKY
168 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 46.30 5 6 51.62( 148) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.15 173 | 47.37 166 | 53.35 135 BIG SKY
172 Idaho AA = 45.46 4 7 57.33( 127) 0 0 | 0 2 | 45.35 170 | 47.35 167 | 45.58 174 BIG SKY
184 Portland State AA = 41.94 4 7 53.51( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.55 184 | 42.56 183 | 44.05 182 BIG SKY
195 Northern Colorado AA = 39.86 2 9 49.83( 156) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.58 193 | 39.09 201 | 41.16 192 BIG SKY
201 Southern Utah AA = 39.19 1 10 50.60( 153) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.77 192 | 38.96 202 | 33.62 214 BIG SKY
208 Sacramento State AA = 37.04 2 8 50.66( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.65 206 | 36.86 207 | 31.11 221 BIG SKY
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
28 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 34.40 35.49 ( 28) TEAMS= 6 34.22 ( 28)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
100 Kennesaw State AA = 62.21 11 2 40.08( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.15 100 | 60.21 108 | 61.97 97 BIG SOUTH
191 Monmouth-NJ AA = 40.34 8 3 32.54( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.19 197 | 43.28 180 | 47.06 164 BIG SOUTH
211 Charleston Southern AA = 35.69 5 6 39.23( 209) 0 0 | 0 1 | 35.40 212 | 35.33 212 | 37.07 208 BIG SOUTH
222 Campbell AA = 30.76 6 5 34.63( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.77 222 | 30.51 222 | 29.97 228 BIG SOUTH
231 Gardner-Webb AA = 26.60 3 8 44.10( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.75 231 | 29.07 225 | 31.12 220 BIG SOUTH
250 Presbyterian College AA = 17.35 2 8 39.25( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 17.52 248 | 16.54 248 | 15.22 249 BIG SOUTH
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
22 COLONIAL (AA)= 50.18 50.09 ( 22) TEAMS= 12 50.00 ( 22)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
78 James Madison AA = 66.85 9 4 48.56( 164) 0 0 | 0 1 | 67.19 77 | 64.76 87 | 63.96 89 COLONIAL
125 Stony Brook AA = 54.60 7 5 48.16( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.53 126 | 54.21 125 | 54.43 128 COLONIAL
129 Maine AA = 54.13 10 4 50.89( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.02 134 | 54.01 126 | 61.53 100 COLONIAL
136 Delaware AA = 52.60 7 5 48.83( 162) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.07 133 | 53.37 133 | 48.50 156 COLONIAL
143 Towson AA = 51.88 7 5 49.53( 159) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.18 139 | 51.46 145 | 49.09 154 COLONIAL
146 Elon AA = 51.29 6 5 51.80( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.58 145 | 51.76 141 | 48.45 157 COLONIAL
148 New Hampshire AA = 50.93 4 7 53.14( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.48 151 | 51.02 148 | 53.43 133 COLONIAL
151 Villanova AA = 50.33 5 6 49.56( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.26 152 | 49.36 153 | 50.15 150 COLONIAL
161 Rhode Island AA = 47.57 6 5 48.83( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.04 161 | 45.75 172 | 50.62 149 COLONIAL
185 Richmond AA = 41.89 4 7 49.42( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.05 183 | 43.22 182 | 40.01 197 COLONIAL
198 Albany-NY AA = 39.49 3 8 47.74( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.44 195 | 39.17 200 | 39.21 200 COLONIAL
200 William & Mary AA = 39.48 4 6 51.41( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.87 200 | 42.12 186 | 42.96 186 COLONIAL
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
25 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.50 44.85 ( 25) TEAMS= 8 44.65 ( 25)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
89 Princeton AA = 64.91 10 0 37.60( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.42 92 | 62.64 96 | 67.89 74 IVY LEAGUE
114 Dartmouth AA = 57.50 9 1 40.16( 203) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.86 115 | 55.56 119 | 61.52 101 IVY LEAGUE
152 Harvard AA = 50.21 6 4 42.29( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.30 157 | 48.79 156 | 55.89 119 IVY LEAGUE
163 Yale AA = 46.90 5 5 45.17( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.76 164 | 48.08 160 | 47.22 163 IVY LEAGUE
196 Pennsylvania AA = 39.60 6 4 40.03( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.91 199 | 41.48 191 | 43.52 184 IVY LEAGUE
202 Columbia AA = 39.16 6 4 40.60( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.21 202 | 41.64 188 | 44.65 178 IVY LEAGUE
213 Cornell AA = 35.49 3 7 47.21( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.93 213 | 35.97 210 | 38.55 203 IVY LEAGUE
234 Brown AA = 25.02 1 9 45.50( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.61 237 | 25.82 235 | 27.11 233 IVY LEAGUE
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
32 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 30.35 30.73 ( 32) TEAMS= 10 30.41 ( 32)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
158 NC A&T AA = 49.26 10 2 32.10( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.71 158 | 49.99 151 | 52.46 141 MID-EASTERN
214 Howard AA = 34.18 4 6 32.32( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.70 214 | 33.10 216 | 29.05 229 MID-EASTERN
215 Florida A&M AA = 34.17 6 5 32.02( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.51 215 | 32.80 217 | 30.77 225 MID-EASTERN
218 Bethune-Cookman AA = 33.40 7 5 36.85( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.50 220 | 34.93 213 | 38.45 204 MID-EASTERN
221 SC State AA = 32.38 5 6 34.61( 227) 0 0 | 0 1 | 31.65 221 | 31.77 219 | 36.46 209 MID-EASTERN
226 NC Central AA = 28.15 5 6 35.41( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.74 224 | 29.23 224 | 30.26 227 MID-EASTERN
227 Morgan State AA = 28.11 4 7 35.68( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.01 230 | 26.90 231 | 33.93 213 MID-EASTERN
236 Norfolk State AA = 24.85 4 7 35.30( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.86 235 | 24.96 237 | 24.12 241 MID-EASTERN
239 Savannah State AA = 24.18 2 8 36.40( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.01 238 | 23.47 239 | 24.78 239 MID-EASTERN
244 Delaware State AA = 18.65 3 8 36.72( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 16.98 250 | 18.54 246 | 26.24 236 MID-EASTERN
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
19 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 57.79 59.21 ( 18) TEAMS= 10 58.28 ( 19)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
19 North Dakota State AA = 83.40 15 0 55.59( 139) 0 0 | 0 0 | 82.88 19 | 83.81 17 | 86.88 12 MISSOURI VALLEY
58 South Dakota State AA = 72.52 10 3 54.83( 141) 0 0 | 0 2 | 72.50 58 | 71.48 63 | 72.03 57 MISSOURI VALLEY
95 Illinois State AA = 63.56 6 5 55.95( 136) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.21 93 | 61.19 106 | 58.57 111 MISSOURI VALLEY
96 Northern Iowa AA = 62.90 7 6 57.79( 122) 0 1 | 0 2 | 63.61 96 | 62.98 95 | 57.45 115 MISSOURI VALLEY
120 Western Illinois AA = 55.62 5 6 56.51( 134) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.10 122 | 56.04 117 | 58.71 109 MISSOURI VALLEY
127 Youngstown State AA = 54.37 4 7 57.32( 128) 0 0 | 0 2 | 54.36 128 | 54.88 121 | 53.79 130 MISSOURI VALLEY
131 South Dakota AA = 53.21 4 7 58.56( 118) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.10 131 | 53.47 132 | 53.40 134 MISSOURI VALLEY
142 Indiana State AA = 52.17 7 4 55.92( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.92 148 | 51.59 143 | 60.43 105 MISSOURI VALLEY
159 Southern Illinois AA = 49.23 2 9 57.07( 130) 0 0 | 0 1 | 49.35 156 | 48.73 158 | 47.74 159 MISSOURI VALLEY
173 Missouri State AA = 45.12 4 7 61.05( 106) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.25 171 | 46.72 170 | 43.49 185 MISSOURI VALLEY
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
29 NORTHEAST (AA)= 32.07 31.45 ( 30) TEAMS= 7 31.70 ( 29)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
193 Duquesne AA = 40.03 9 4 37.59( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.70 205 | 43.27 181 | 52.89 137 NORTHEAST
206 Central Connecticut AA = 37.60 6 5 32.56( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.30 207 | 37.26 206 | 38.98 202 NORTHEAST
207 Sacred Heart AA = 37.41 7 4 32.63( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.97 208 | 36.80 208 | 39.81 198 NORTHEAST
220 Saint Francis-Pa. AA = 32.53 4 7 31.98( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.87 219 | 30.64 221 | 28.98 230 NORTHEAST
228 Wagner AA = 28.06 4 7 37.92( 211) 0 0 | 0 1 | 27.52 227 | 28.05 230 | 30.95 222 NORTHEAST
230 Bryant AA = 26.84 6 5 33.55( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.06 229 | 28.75 227 | 24.38 240 NORTHEAST
249 Robert Morris AA = 17.67 2 9 37.29( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.03 247 | 16.28 249 | 13.60 251 NORTHEAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
26 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 42.11 42.04 ( 26) TEAMS= 9 42.21 ( 26)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
119 Jacksonville State AA = 55.67 9 4 42.56( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.97 119 | 54.86 122 | 52.88 138 OHIO VALLEY
156 SE Missouri State AA = 49.47 9 4 45.19( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.34 159 | 49.54 152 | 56.59 117 OHIO VALLEY
176 Tennessee-Martin AA = 43.81 2 9 46.40( 177) 0 0 | 0 1 | 44.51 174 | 41.56 190 | 37.43 207 OHIO VALLEY
181 Tennessee State AA = 42.60 4 5 44.23( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.94 179 | 41.16 194 | 39.30 199 OHIO VALLEY
182 Austin Peay AA = 42.38 5 6 40.07( 205) 0 1 | 0 1 | 42.45 181 | 41.40 193 | 41.15 193 OHIO VALLEY
189 Eastern Illinois AA = 40.45 3 8 46.66( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.31 188 | 40.08 198 | 40.84 195 OHIO VALLEY
197 Eastern Kentucky AA = 39.52 7 4 41.21( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.64 201 | 41.41 192 | 44.64 179 OHIO VALLEY
199 Murray State AA = 39.49 5 6 45.63( 181) 0 0 | 0 1 | 39.57 194 | 40.57 196 | 38.23 205 OHIO VALLEY
235 Tennessee Tech AA = 25.00 1 10 47.90( 168) 0 0 | 0 1 | 24.89 234 | 25.85 234 | 25.18 237 OHIO VALLEY
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
30 PATRIOT (AA)= 30.85 33.22 ( 29) TEAMS= 7 31.40 ( 30)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
105 Colgate AA = 60.31 10 2 39.87( 207) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.76 108 | 59.33 110 | 63.65 90 PATRIOT
192 Holy Cross AA = 40.05 5 6 42.48( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.83 191 | 38.79 203 | 40.93 194 PATRIOT
224 Lehigh AA = 28.30 3 8 40.27( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.58 226 | 30.16 223 | 32.22 217 PATRIOT
225 Georgetown AA = 28.23 5 6 32.53( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.39 228 | 28.26 228 | 32.75 215 PATRIOT
229 Fordham AA = 27.62 2 9 37.23( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.67 225 | 28.14 229 | 26.58 234 PATRIOT
238 Lafayette AA = 24.51 3 8 38.65( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.79 236 | 25.36 236 | 21.48 242 PATRIOT
240 Bucknell AA = 23.49 1 10 37.72( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.00 239 | 22.82 240 | 17.98 245 PATRIOT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
35 PIONEER (AA)= 21.34 22.44 ( 35) TEAMS= 10 21.86 ( 35)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
203 San Diego AA = 39.15 9 3 28.47( 246) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.14 203 | 41.56 189 | 44.98 176 PIONEER
210 Drake AA = 35.94 7 4 26.53( 250) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.83 210 | 33.89 214 | 36.11 210 PIONEER
219 Dayton AA = 33.24 6 5 24.30( 253) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.52 218 | 31.41 220 | 30.31 226 PIONEER
241 Marist AA = 22.78 5 6 25.30( 251) 0 0 | 0 0 | 21.84 242 | 21.57 241 | 27.67 232 PIONEER
243 Stetson AA = 18.96 8 2 20.35( 255) 0 0 | 0 0 | 17.38 249 | 19.57 243 | 26.26 235 PIONEER
245 Butler AA = 18.63 4 7 28.20( 247) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.79 243 | 18.92 245 | 16.67 247 PIONEER
247 Valparaiso AA = 18.41 2 9 25.27( 252) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.44 244 | 16.59 247 | 17.50 246 PIONEER
251 Davidson AA = 13.32 6 5 21.10( 254) 0 0 | 0 0 | 12.91 252 | 10.04 254 | 15.35 248 PIONEER
252 Jacksonville AA = 12.92 2 8 26.70( 249) 0 0 | 0 0 | 13.08 251 | 12.50 251 | 10.83 254 PIONEER
254 Morehead State AA = 11.06 3 8 28.19( 248) 0 0 | 0 0 | 10.57 254 | 11.55 252 | 13.54 252 PIONEER
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
24 SOUTHERN (AA)= 46.19 45.40 ( 24) TEAMS= 9 45.91 ( 24)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
116 Samford AA = 56.25 6 5 49.05( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.37 116 | 54.85 123 | 54.72 125 SOUTHERN
123 Wofford AA = 54.88 9 4 45.24( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.81 123 | 55.30 120 | 54.75 124 SOUTHERN
144 Furman AA = 51.50 6 4 48.50( 165) 0 1 | 0 1 | 50.88 149 | 52.09 140 | 55.23 122 SOUTHERN
160 The Citadel AA = 48.34 5 6 47.24( 172) 0 1 | 0 1 | 47.78 160 | 46.48 171 | 51.61 146 SOUTHERN
165 Chattanooga AA = 46.72 6 5 46.33( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.79 163 | 47.68 163 | 45.56 175 SOUTHERN
175 Mercer AA = 43.95 5 6 46.29( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.72 176 | 44.16 174 | 44.98 177 SOUTHERN
179 East Tennessee State AA = 43.04 8 4 47.73( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.44 182 | 43.74 176 | 46.48 170 SOUTHERN
204 Western Carolina AA = 38.34 3 8 47.23( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.96 198 | 38.32 204 | 32.41 216 SOUTHERN
232 VMI AA = 25.55 1 10 50.11( 155) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.55 232 | 24.86 238 | 24.85 238 SOUTHERN
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
27 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 41.76 41.14 ( 27) TEAMS= 11 41.47 ( 27)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
124 Nicholls State AA = 54.67 9 4 43.84( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.42 127 | 53.34 134 | 55.84 120 SOUTHLAND
164 Central Arkansas AA = 46.87 6 5 41.07( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.71 166 | 47.00 168 | 47.40 160 SOUTHLAND
170 Sam Houston State AA = 45.59 6 5 41.16( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.98 168 | 47.44 165 | 41.93 190 SOUTHLAND
174 Abilene Christian AA = 44.15 6 5 43.32( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.76 175 | 43.39 179 | 46.27 171 SOUTHLAND
177 Incarnate Word AA = 43.60 6 5 47.75( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.57 180 | 43.61 178 | 49.75 151 SOUTHLAND
183 Lamar AA = 42.03 7 5 44.84( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.41 187 | 41.65 187 | 51.56 147 SOUTHLAND
187 McNeese State AA = 41.10 6 5 42.73( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.27 186 | 43.61 177 | 39.11 201 SOUTHLAND
190 SE Louisiana AA = 40.40 4 7 46.01( 180) 0 0 | 0 1 | 40.04 190 | 41.00 195 | 42.25 189 SOUTHLAND
205 Northwestern State AA = 38.31 5 6 43.12( 193) 0 0 | 0 1 | 37.78 204 | 37.95 205 | 41.24 191 SOUTHLAND
217 Stephen F. Austin AA = 33.42 2 8 44.48( 187) 0 1 | 0 1 | 33.62 217 | 33.42 215 | 31.20 219 SOUTHLAND
242 Houston Baptist AA = 22.39 1 10 44.35( 188) 0 0 | 0 0 | 22.75 241 | 19.54 244 | 18.45 244 SOUTHLAND
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
34 SWAC-EAST (AA)= 24.35 24.46 ( 34) TEAMS= 5 24.33 ( 34)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
186 Alcorn State AA = 41.19 9 4 34.32( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.26 189 | 42.37 185 | 46.60 169 SWAC-EAST
223 Alabama A&M AA = 29.08 6 5 28.76( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.73 223 | 26.68 232 | 30.80 224 SWAC-EAST
237 Jackson State AA = 24.62 5 5 31.98( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 23.41 240 | 25.95 233 | 30.82 223 SWAC-EAST
246 Alabama State AA = 18.51 4 7 37.06( 218) 0 0 | 0 1 | 18.30 245 | 21.14 242 | 19.38 243 SWAC-EAST
255 Miss. Valley State AA = 8.89 1 10 30.81( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 9.06 255 | 6.70 255 | 6.71 255 SWAC-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
33 SWAC-WEST (AA)= 29.03 27.91 ( 33) TEAMS= 5 28.54 ( 33)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
194 Southern U. AA = 39.90 7 4 35.25( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.26 196 | 40.43 197 | 43.56 183 SWAC-WEST
212 Prairie View A&M AA = 35.61 5 6 32.89( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.03 209 | 32.69 218 | 31.42 218 SWAC-WEST
216 Grambling State AA = 34.13 6 5 30.66( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.75 216 | 36.18 209 | 36.09 211 SWAC-WEST
248 Texas Southern AA = 17.83 2 9 33.27( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.29 246 | 15.40 250 | 12.67 253 SWAC-WEST
253 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 12.07 2 9 33.92( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 11.58 253 | 11.08 253 | 14.56 250 SWAC-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
31 I-AA IND. (AA)= 30.83 30.83 ( 31) TEAMS= 2 30.83 ( 31)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
209 North Alabama AA = 36.17 7 3 37.87( 212) 0 0 | 0 1 | 35.81 211 | 35.82 211 | 37.98 206 I-AA IND.
233 Hampton AA = 25.50 7 3 33.02( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.04 233 | 28.92 226 | 27.93 231 I-AA IND.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
36 ***UNRATED*** (**) = -91.00 -91.00 ( 36) TEAMS= 1 -91.00 ( 36)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29] [ 2.29]
256 ***UNRATED*** __ = -91.00 3 61 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -91.00 256 | -91.00 256 | -91.00 256 ***UNRATED***
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
These are the "regular method". &
HOME or CLOSEBY (c) team in CAPS &
both teams in lower case &
means "n" for NEUTRAL location &
FAVORITE Rating Points Golden Recent UNDERDOG TOTAL &
================================================================================================
n clemson 1.72 1.13 1.58 8.50 alabama 62.50
EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 PCT%=confidence
FAVORITE SPREAD ODDS PCT% UNDERDOG
1 N Clemson 8.78 255 72% @ Alabama
endfile