Final Emmy Predictions: Supporting Actress (Comedy) — Could Liza Colón-Zayas Make History as the First Latina Winner in the Category?

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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Lisa Ann Walter and Chris Perfetti in “Abbott Elementary” ABC

Weekly Commentary (Updated: July 11, 2024): Liza Colón-Zayas, who plays the heartwarming Tina on FX’s “The Bear,” is poised to make history as the third Latina to be nominated in the category following Sofía Vergara’s four bids for “Modern Family” and Rosie Perez for “The Flight Attendant.” With standout notices for the third season, she could put herself in a position to try to unseat the two frontrunners — Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”) and Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”) — and become the first Latina to win the category.

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Last year, four Black women were nominated in the Supporting Comedy Actress category, the most in Emmy history. With the previous year’s winner, Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”), moving to lead and Jessica Williams (“Shrinking”) not in this awards cycle, a repeat of this historic achievement seems unlikely. Nonetheless, 132 incredible actors are on the ballots, but only six nominees will be selected this time, making the race even more competitive.

Among the likely returning nominees are Janelle James and Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”), who might also bring along their co-star Lisa Ann Walter, long overdue for recognition in her scene-stealing role as Melissa. Was there anything more heartwarming this season than watching Melissa become roommates with Jacob (played by Chris Perfetti)? Hopefully, she can slide into the competitive lineup.

FX’s “The Bear” boasts strong, albeit subtle contenders, notably Latina star Liza Colón-Zayas and Abby Elliott, who seem to be in the best position to remain in the slim lineup of six. But depending on how much the TV Academy fawns over the series, we’re keeping a close eye on Molly Gordon to break through the lineup.

The third season of HBO/Max’s “Hacks” might be its best yet, propelling Hannah Einbinder to frontrunner status after two previous nominations for her role as comedy writer Ava Daniels. She might also secure a nomination for her co-star Meg Stalter.

While “Saturday Night Live” may be in a “rebuilding phase,” standouts Chloe Fineman, Heidi Gardner, Ego Nwodim, and Sarah Sherman have strong support. However, vote-splitting among them might prevent any from securing a nomination.

Michaela Jaé Rodriguez made history as the first transgender and Afro-Latina nominee for Lead Drama Actress for “Pose.” She could earn a second nomination, potentially buoyed by support for Apple’s “Loot” and her co-star Maya Rudolph.

Icon Meryl Streep, who has three Emmys, should never be counted out. Her portrayal of Loretta Durkin, a struggling Broadway actress, in Hulu’s “Only Murders in the Building,” has quickly established her as a frontrunner, according to industry experts. Other Emmy legends like Carol Burnett, Allison Janney, and Laura Dern from “Palm Royale” remain possibilities, given their multiple Emmy noms and wins throughout their careers.

Nominations-round voting is open from June 13 to June 24. Voting for peer group-specific panels (if applicable) takes place between June 28 and July 8. The Emmy nominations will be announced on July 17. The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will be held on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.

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