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      Stocks, oil falter on view on China economy

      NEW YORK (Reuters) - World shares and oil prices fell on Monday on worries about dim growth prospects for the global economy and on expectations for a weak U.S. corporate earnings reporting season.

      Jitters over the euro zone debt crisis knocked the euro down from two-week highs with uncertainty about Spain persisting after a euro zone finance ministers meeting in Luxembourg said the country did not yet need a bailout.

      The lackluster tone in markets was set early after the World Bank cut its growth expectations the East Asia and Pacific region, including economic powerhouse China.

      Heading into the U.S. third quarter corporate earnings reporting season - which starts on Tuesday with a report from Alcoa - analysts forecast earnings will fall 2.4 percent from the year-ago quarter

      That would mark the first decline in three years and make it difficult to justify keeping U.S. stocks near recent peaks.

      Recent warnings from large multinationals such as FedEx Corp , Hewlett-Packard Co and Caterpillar Inc have already made investors wary.

      On Wall Street, equities trading volume was the lowest so far this year on Monday as the U.S. government and the bond market were closed for the Columbus Day holiday.

      "Certainly there have been a lot of downward revisions in earnings in general," said Peter Jankovskis, co-chief investment officer at OakBrook Investments LLC in Lisle, Illinois. "Some people are predicting that we may see an overall decline in earnings, so there may be some defensive posturing and profit-taking."

      U.S. stocks finished the day modestly lower, while European shares <.FTEU3> fell 1.0 percent. World shares as measured by the MSCI world equity index <.MIWD00000PUS> were down 0.7 percent.

      The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> slipped 26.50 points, or 0.19 percent, to 13,583.65. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was off 5.05 points, or 0.35 percent, to 1,455.88. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> dropped 23.83 points, or 0.76 percent, to 3,112.35.

      About 4.1 billion shares changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and NYSE MKT, compared with the year-to-date daily average of 6.54 billion to last Friday.

      CHINA SLOWDOWN

      Earlier the World Bank said there was a risk the economic slowdown in China could worsen and last longer than many analysts have forecast. Still, the international lender expects China to have a soft landing. It revised its forecast to growth of 7.7 percent this year and 8.1 percent for next year.

      Earlier this year, the World Bank had forecast 8.2 percent growth for China in 2012 and 8.6 percent in 2013.

      China's role as the last major growth engine in the world economy amplified the impact of the World Bank's forecasts in commodity markets.

      Monday's World Bank forecast deflated some of last week's positive sentiment in markets spurred by an unexpected drop in the U.S. unemployment rate.

      Fears slower global economic growth would curb oil demand initially sent Brent crude oil prices lower, but tension in the Middle East helped the commodity pare losses in choppy trading.

      Brent edged down 20 cents to settle at $111.82 a barrel, recovering after falling to a session low of $110.54. U.S. crude fell a second straight session, dropping 55 cents to settle at $89.33 a barrel

      EURO DRAG

      Uncertainty over the next steps in solving the euro zone's debt crisis, coupled with the weak economic outlook weighed on the euro, which was 0.5 percent lower at $1.2970.

      Euro zone finance ministers said Spain was taking steps to overhaul its economy and did not need a bailout, at least for now.

      Arriving at a meeting in Luxembourg to discuss Greece and Spain and to inaugurate the euro zone's permanent bailout mechanism, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said Madrid had made clear it wanted no help.

      "Perhaps those types of comments are not necessarily positive for the euro in the sense that markets are still looking for a Spanish request as the next big step forward for Europe," said Vassili Serebriakov, currency strategist at Wells Fargo in New York.

      The euro had hit two-week highs on Friday. The U.S. dollar was up 0.3 percent against a basket of currencies <.DXY>.

      In Europe, fresh data showed investor sentiment had improved for a second consecutive month in October thanks largely to the monetary easing by central banks and Germany's backing for a new permanent bailout fund for the European currency bloc.

      German export data for August also surprised by jumping 2.4 percent month-on-month, surpassing expectations for a drop of 0.5 percent in a Reuters poll of 17 economists.

      (Additional reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak, Rodrigo Campos and Wanfeng Zhou)

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      23 comments

      • robert  •  1 day 22 hrs ago
        Asian stock market investors are worried because he said Pixie Dust would create millions of American jobs! They think he is on to something.
      • Barry  •  1 day 16 hrs ago
        Socialism does not inspire investment or growth.
        • william 10 hrs ago
          Yeah, Germany is in so much trouble. Destroy the central banks to have real freedom and free markets.
      • DON C  •  1 day 23 hrs ago
        The alleged drop in unemployment to 7.8 as a sign of recovery is about like putting a tarp over a pile of crap and believing things smell better.
        • Refriedbean 1 day 14 hrs ago
          And they would.
      • Lavail  •  1 day 23 hrs ago
        With all the slowing down there's still room for business; Peoples Wants^ Profits^!!! Good company, Better State, Greater COUNTRY!!
        • william 10 hrs ago
          The people of China are not the problem. The problem is the corruption of the Chinese system of gov't controlled capitalisim and the unfettered greed along with the willingness of the capatialist system to participate in the corruption of gov'ts.
      • R. L.H  •  1 day 21 hrs ago
        No matter what it does not sound good for investors, at least the small ones.
        • Refriedbean 1 day 14 hrs ago
          We're always the bonee, eh?
      • wd40oz  •  1 day 15 hrs ago
        This has been foreseen for some time. A good indicator of China's economic health is their electricity consumption which has been flat for almost 5 months. China puts a spin on it saying their demand outpaces capacity but that's largely b-sht.
      • Bill S  •  2 days 1 hr ago
        of course it is down,,,all the players took their commissions before information is public that Brazil have commodity reserves in soybeans and copper for the market in 2013
        • Refriedbean 1 day 14 hrs ago
          How come we're not as smart as those there Brazilians?
      • Ren  •  1 day 7 hrs ago
        WEAK OUTLOOK FOR THE GLOBAL ECONOMY!! Wow since when?
      • Greg H  •  2 days 0 hrs ago
        This is just the beginning of a world wide slowdown...I'm betting on a DOW 7700, Nasdaq 2500, and S&P 1070 by February.

        I'm counting on poor earnings, increased unemployment, (I don't believe 7.8%), a challenged election, an impotent and inept congress, and a world wide slowdown.
      • Endell Maynard  •  1 day 8 hrs ago
        The regulators and statical data have all given economies time to brace for recessions.
      • erincjact  •  1 day 23 hrs ago
        Be back
      • erincjact  •  2 days 0 hrs ago
        Sounds cool to me.
      • erincjact  •  1 day 23 hrs ago
        Alright I think I got rid of fire background but still like the man in suit.
      • Orest Z  •  1 day 11 hrs ago
        "oil falls on weak outlook for the global economy". How many years have we been listening to this tag line and yet the price of gasoline keeps going up or, at the very least, is not coming down. If American and Canadian governments were really serious about helping consumers, they would help fund the building of more refineries. Unbelieveably, no new refineries have been built in decades inspite of the tripling and quadrupling of vehicles on the road.
      • Jonh  •  1 day 12 hrs ago
        In other news the price of gas soared.
      • anonymous  •  1 day 19 hrs ago
        I was expecting this. The recent PMI data was factoring in this direction. More corners will follow and that will connect the dots. Little way to avoid it. Matter is how fast and deep before digging out a rebound. I dont like it. Not happy at all. Shorting sux unless it's a pair trade. GL.
      • Cowboy  •  1 day 11 hrs ago
        Makes me happy I have my nestegg. I guess not using credit cards and throwing money at my mortgage and not living beyond my means payed off. Isn't this what the experts keep telling people. If they couldn.t figure it out by themselves, they have no excuse cause they were told. I don't consider myself smart, but I guess I am not totally stupid eithier. Hard to feel sorry for someone who causes there own pain.
      • Pathdoc  •  1 day 3 hrs ago
        We now depend on China for our money, our economy and our well being -

        China the most capitalist of the Communists.

        Soon to feel the might of US operation Arab Spring - good thing the fighting is done by the natives and from the inside with an outside military attack only if needed.
      • Time_out  •  1 day 5 hrs ago
        The lower oil prices will probably affect the price of gas....except of course in Canada.
      • cybertrax  •  1 day 5 hrs ago
        Good!! I hope their entire economy goes into a complete state of collapse, maybe some of these pro China #$%$ kissing politicians and corporate heads will see the light.

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