Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames odds, picks and prediction
The Winnipeg Jets (20-11-2) and Calgary Flames (15-16-3) begin a three-game head-to-head set at Scotiabank Saddledome Friday. Game 1 begins with a 10 p.m. ET puck drop. Below, we analyze the Jets-Flamesodds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.
The Jets and Flames are second and sixth, respectively, in the seven-team, all-Canadian North Division. Winnipeg leads the season series 3-1-1 but the two haven't played since Feb. 9.
The Jets come into this set off of back-to-back road wins over the Vancouver Canucks. These three games will wrap up a seven-game road trip.
Calgary just went 1-3 on a four-game road trip and ended it with three straight losses, the final two of which were against the last-place Ottawa Senators. The Flames scored just 2 goals in those three losses.
Jets at Flames: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Jets +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Flames -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Jets +1.5 (-250) | Flames -1.5 (+200)
- Over/Under : 6 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Jets at Flames: Projected starting goalies
Connor Hellebuyck (15-9-2, .916 SV%, 2.65 GAA) vs. Jacob Markstrom (12-10-2, .904 SV%, 2.84 GAA)
Hellebuyck stopped 60 of 61 shots in the back-to-back wins over the Canucks. It followed a rare rough stretch for the reigning Vezina Trophy winner in which he allowed 3 or more goals in eight straight games while going 3-4-1. He posted a .903 SV% over 13 games from Feb. 15-March 20.
Markstrom took the loss in both games against the Senators but while stopping 49 of the 53 shots he saw. He returns home where he has a .893 SV% and 2.97 GAA in 12 games played. He's 2-1-1 with a .896 SV% and 2.94 GAA in four games against the Jets this season.
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Jets at Flames: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Jets 3, Flames 2
Money line (ML)
The JETS (+110) have the edge in the goaltending matchup, especially with Markstrom struggling in his home barn in his first season with the Flames, and they come in as the much better team.
Winnipeg is 7-5-1 this month while Calgary is just 5-6-1 and trending in the wrong direction.
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Against the spread (ATS)
As much as the Flames are struggling in the win-loss column, they're still 11th in the league for the season in 5-on-5 Corsi For percentage at 51.38%, while the Jets are just 25th (47.30%). There's a similar discrepancy in scoring chance percentage.
While I like the Jets for the outright upset, PASS on the puck line play as there's no incentive to lay -250 for the 1-goal cushion in a loss.
Over/Under (O/U)
Lean to the UNDER 6 (-120) with Hellebuyck seemingly returned to Vezina form and the Flames struggling mightily to score goals.
The Flames have played to the Under in three straight games while the Jets are 1-2-1 against the number over their last four games.
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