Florida State at Michigan NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Odds, Picks and Prediction

A spot in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament will go to either the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (20-4) or the No. 4 Florida State Seminoles (16-6) when the teams meet in a East Region bracket matchup. Oddsmakers think Michigan will claim victory, naming the Wolverines as 2.5-point favorites. The action starts at 5:00 PM ET on Sunday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, airing on CBS.

The Wolverines were led by Chaundee Brown's 21 points last time out in an 86-78 win against LSU on Monday. They covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites, while the teams scored a combined 164 points to hit the over on the 148 over/under.

Last time out, Anthony Polite scored 22 points as the Seminoles earned a 71-53 win against Colorado on Monday. The teams combined to score 124 points to hit the under on the 141.5 point total by sportsbooks, while the Seminoles were 1-point favorites and covered the spread.

Florida State at Michigan: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list.

Lines last updated at 3:30 PM ET on March 28, 2021.

• Money line: Florida State +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Michigan -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Florida State +2.5 (-110) | Michigan -2.5 (-110)
• Over/Under: 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Michigan: Three things to know

• The Wolverines points and rebounds leader is Hunter Dickinson. He puts up 14.2 points per game and grabs 7.5 rebounds. Isaiah Livers is the top three-point shooter for the team, knocking down 2.2 per game.
• The Wolverines record 76.8 points per game, 7.9 more points than the 68.9 the Seminoles allow.
• When Michigan puts up more than 68.9 points, it is 17-0 against the spread and 20-0 overall.

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Florida State: Three things to know

• M.J. Walker leads the Seminoles in scoring, averaging 12.3 points per game. Walker leads the squad with a team-high 1.9 made three-pointers per game.
• The Seminoles put up an average of 78 points per game, 12.1 more points than the 65.9 the Wolverines give up.
• Florida State is 13-0 against the spread and 17-5 overall when it scores more than 65.9 points.

Florida State at Michigan: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Michigan 74, Florida State 71

Money line

The model and BetMGM both have the Michigan Wolverines as the favorite in this matchup.

Against the spread (ATS)

The model and MGM both have the Wolverines taking home the victory, but the model has them winning by slightly more (3 points). Lean towards taking the Wolverines with the points.

Over/Under (O/U)

MGM and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, with the model just coming Over the projected total.

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