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Washington Nationals

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals predictions, picks and best bets

Esten McLaren
Sportsbook Wire

The Washington Nationals (12-14) and St. Louis Cardinals (17-10) begin a four-game set at Nationals Park Monday at 7:05 p.m. Eastern.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook; for a full-set of today's sports odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals: Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Michael Wacha vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Wacha missed what would have been his most recent start due to left knee tendinitis. The 27-year-old made his first four starts of the year and allowed two or fewer runs in three of those. The other start was an eight-hit, seven-earned run nightmare in which he lasted just 3 2/3 innings. He has 24 strikeouts on the year but 14 walks, though eight of those free passes came in one game. His flyball rate is up from last year, but his rates of line drives and hard contact are both markedly down.

Corbin, an offseason free-agent addition, has a 2.48 ERA through five starts with 10.74 strikeouts per innings to 1.65 walks. He's gone at least six innings each time out and hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any one start. Those three runs came on three solo homers.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals: By the Numbers

  • The Cardinals rank just 22nd in team OPS against left-handed pitching. The Nationals are 17th against righties.
  • Washington's bullpen ranks 29th in MLB with a collective ERA of 6.57. It's 4.70 walk rate is sixth worst. The St. Louis bullpen ranks ninth best in terms of ERA and has the fifth-best strikeout rate.

  • Cardinals OF Marcell Ozuna is T4 in the majors with 10 home runs and 1B Paul Goldschmidt is T7 with nine, but they have just two homers combined against lefties.
  • The Cardinals won five of seven meetings with the Nationals in 2018.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals: Key Injuries

Cardinals relievers Luke Gregerson, Brett Cecil and Mike Mayers all remain sidelined by injuries. OF Justin Williams is also out of the lineup.

Nationals 3B Anthony Rendon has played just once since April 20 but still hasn't been placed on the injured list. 1B Ryan Zimmerman is out, as are RPs Austin Williams, Trevor Rosenthal and Koda Glover. SS Trea Turner is out another couple weeks.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals: Picks and Betting Tips

Moneyline: The Nationals are unlikely to need to worry about their depleted bullpen with Corbin back on the mound. Roll with the home squad at -140 odds as they win the pitching duel.

Against the spread: Wacha has been shaky despite having decent surface numbers. Both lineups are playing in the worse side of their pitching split, but we can take Washington at -1.5 (+146) as Corbin holds the upper hand.

Over/under: Take the UNDER on 8.5 (-118) while not expecting the Cardinals to generate much offense.

Follow Esten on Twitter @EstenMcLaren

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