Dallas Mavericks at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and best bets
The Dallas Mavericks (34-22) visit the Big Peach to play the Atlanta Hawks (16-41) Saturday in State Farm Arena at 7:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Mavericks-Hawks odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
Mavericks at Hawks: Key injuries
Mavericks
- PF Dwight Powell (Achilles) out
- SG Luka Doncic (Ankle) out
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
- PG Seth Curry (knee) questionable
- C Willie Cauley-Stein (personal) out
Hawks
- PF De'Andre Hunter (personal) out
- SG DeAndre' Bembry (abdominal) doubtful
- PF Skal Labissiere (back) out
- C Clint Capela (heel) out
Mavericks at Hawks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today's betting odds. Odds last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Mavericks 131, Hawks 118
Moneyline (ML)
NO PLAY. Atlanta PG Trae Young is coming off a career-high 50-point performance in a Thursday's 129-124 home win against the Miami Heat. The Mavericks started their post-All-Star Break campaign off on the right note, winning at Orlando Magic 122-106 Friday. Dallas smoked Atlanta in the first meeting at home 123-100 Feb. 1, and that was without its top two leading scorers in SGLuka Doncicand PFKristaps Porzingis. I am ruling out a Hawks +200 upset because of their Saturday splits. Atlanta is 2-7 on Saturdays, losing by an average score of 126-105, whereas Dallas has a 7-3 record on Saturdays, winning by an average score of 121-108. However, the poor value of Mavericks -250 steers me away from wagering on them. PASS.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Honestly, one can make a great argument for both of these teams covering. The Hawks +6.5 (-121) are 16-10-1 ATS in home games, but the MAVERICKS -6.5 ( +100) are 18-6-2 ATS in road games. Plus, Atlanta is 13-6 ATS at home against teams above .500; Dallas is 9-2-1 ATS on the road against teams below. 500. The Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win, but the Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Atlanta and are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
I lean MAVERICKS -6.5 ( +100) because of the Saturday splits, the first game of the season and Dallas just being a much better team this year.
Over/Under (O/U)
For all the noise about the Hawks' offensive proclivity, they are last in the NBA in 3-point percentage and 23rd in field-goal percentage. Also, the Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. But Dallas has the highest percentage of Overs this season and Atlanta has the fourth highest. Their combined O/U record is a staggering 60-43 for the season. Let's root for a fun game and bet OVER 239.5 ( -121). There should be Atlanta-bred rappers and celebrities in attendance, plus if Offset and Cardi B are there maybe Luka puts on a show for his crush.
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