MLB

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and best bets

Joe Williams

Sportsbook Wire

The Philadelphia Phillies (19-16) and New York Mets (18-22) square off Sunday at Citi Field with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the Phillies-Mets MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Phillies at Mets: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Jacob deGrom

Nola has posted a 4-2 record, 2.45 ERA and .229 opponent batting average with a 0.86 WHIP and 57 strikeouts across 44 innings over his seven starts.

Nola faced the Mets Aug. 15, allowing just three hits and two walks with eight strikeouts over seven scoreless innings in a 6-2 win, one of his five quality starts through seven outings.
Last time out, Nola yielded just two hits and three walks with nine strikeouts over eight scoreless innings in a 6-0 win against the Washington Nationals.

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DeGrom continues to be one of the best pitchers in the game, turning in a 2-1 record, 1.76 ERA and .231 OBP with 58 strikeouts over 41 innings through his seven outings.

DeGrom has not faced the Phillies yet this season, and somehow he faced them just once in 2019. He had a no-decision with two earned runs, three hits and three walks with 10 strikeouts over seven innings July 5, 2019, vs. Philadelphia at Citi Field.
In 15 career starts against the Phillies, he is 7-1 with a 2.23 ERA and just six home runs allowed.

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Phillies at Mets: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Phillies

OF Jay Bruce (quadriceps) doubtful
2BScott Kingery(back) out
RPAdam Morgan(shoulder) out
OF Roman Quinn (concussion) questionable

Mets

RP Dellin Betances (back) out
2B Eduardo Nunez (knee) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Phillies at Mets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:31 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Mets 4, Phillies 2

Moneyline (ML)

Based on the deGrom tends alone, you have to back the METS ( -150) in this one. He has had the Phillies' number since he debuted in 2014, losing just once in 15 appearances. This will be a well-pitched game, and you might sweat a little, but New York will come away with the rubber match in this series.

New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Phillies would return a profit of $6.67.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mets -1.5 ( +145) is a rather risky play, and while it's not for me personally, it isn't bad for a small wager. In each of their past three victories the Mets have also covered the run line. However, they have covered the run line in just three of deGrom's seven outings to date.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 7 ( -110) is a rather low number, but with Nola and deGrom locking horns, it should go slightly Under the total. I wouldn't go crazy here, as a flat 7 is so very low. The Over is also 5-1 in deGrom's past six outings, but the Under is 5-2 in Nola's seven showings.

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