Florida State at Miami odds, picks and best bets
The Florida State Seminoles (0-1) travel to battle their rivals, the Miami Hurricanes (2-0), at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff Saturday (on ABC). Below, we analyze the Florida State-Miami college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
The Hurricanes are ranked 14th in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Florida State at Miami: Betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:13 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Miami -556 | Florida State +400
- Against the spread/ATS : Miami -12 (-110) | Florida State +12 (-110)
- Over/Under : 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Florida State at Miami: Three things to know
- The Seminoles and Hurricanes meet for the 65th time in the series, with Miami leading 34-30. Miami enters on a three-game winning streak in the series.
- The 'Noles opened with a 16-13 loss against Georgia Tech at home, a stunning setback to rain on the debut of head coach Mike Norvell. Speaking of Norvell, he will be away from the team for this one due to a positive COVID test, so deputy head coach Chris Thomsen will be the in-person coach Saturday.
- Miami has looked good changing to the spread offense for the first time in school history, averaging 39.0 PPG and 488.5 total yards of offense per game. The 'Canes are rushing the ball well, too, going for 248.5 yards per contest in wins over UAB and Louisville.
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Florida State at Miami: Odds, betting lines and picks
Prediction
Miami 30, Florida State 21
Money line (ML)
Miami (-556) is too rich for my blood, especially in a rivalry game. Yes, Florida State (+400) lost its opener, but it also has had two weeks to prepare for this one. AVOID.
Against the spread (ATS)
FLORIDA STATE +12 ( -110) is the way to go here, even if the 'Noles are 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven on the road. The underdog is 15-3 ATS in the past 18 meetings in this series, the road team is 12-2 ATS in the previous 14, and FSU is 6-1 ATS in its past seven visits to South Florida.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 53.5 is a good play in this one. Yes, the trends in the past are important, but also, Florida State posted just 13 points against Georgia Tech's mediocre defense. FSU still has work to do before it's threatening Overs. The Under is 7-3-1 in the past 11 meetings in Miami, and 8-1 in the past nine meetings in this series.
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