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NFL

New England Patriots slight road favorites at Houston Texans in Week 11

Geoff Clark
USA Today Sportsbookwire

The New England Patriots (4-5) visit the Houston Texans (2-7) in Week 11 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at NRG Stadium. Here's a look at the early betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Patriots pulled out a rain-soaked win on Sunday Night Football against the Baltimore Ravens 23-17 in Week 10. Head coach Bill Belichick reached deep into his bag of tricks as New England scored a touchdown on a 24-yard WR-touchdown pass from Jakobi Meyers to RB Rex Burkhead. New England's ground game stole the show, outrushing Baltimore 173-115, which included RB Damien Harris' 22 carries for 121 yards.

New England's betting records:

  • Against the spread: 4-5 ATS
  • Over/Under: 4-5 O/U

Houston had a tough time getting its offense on track in the windy, rainstorm conditions of its 10-7 Week 10 loss to the Cleveland Browns. The Texans only had 243 total yards (QB Deshaun Watson threw for just 163 yards and one touchdown) with 26:40 time of possession. Houston's NFL-worst rush defense got steamrolled for 231 yards.

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Houston's betting records:

  • Against the spread: 2-7 ATS
  • Over/Under: 5-4 O/U

Patriots at Texans: Betting odds, spread and line

  • Money line: Patriots -150 (bet $150 to win $100) / Texans +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Patriots -2.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Texans +2.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 46.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Bet now

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The Patriots are -150 road favorites with a win probability of 60% or fractional odds of 2/3 (1.67 decimal odds). New England needs to win by 3 or more points for a Patriots -2.5 (-110) bet to win.

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At +125, Houston has an implied win probability of 44.4%. Those odds are expressed fractionally as 5/4 or 2.25 decimal odds. If Houston wins outright or loses by 2 points or 1 point, then a Texans +2.5 (-110) ticket cashes.

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