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Oklahoma at Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Johnny Parlay
Sportsbook Wire

The Oklahoma Sooners (6-2 overall, 2-1 Big 12) visit the second-ranked Baylor Bears (9-0, 2-0) Wednesday for a 9 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Oklahoma-Baylor college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of USA TODAY Sports Men's Basketball Coaches Poll.

Oklahoma at Baylor: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line : Oklahoma +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Baylor -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS : Oklahoma +11.5 (-110) | Baylor -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under : 151.5. (O: -110 | U: -110)

Oklahoma at Baylor: Three things to know

  1. Oklahoma beat then-No. 8 West Virginia 75-71 as a 1.5-point home favorite Saturday. The Sooners blew an 18-point halftime lead - the game was tied with 5 minutes to go - but managed to pull away just enough for their fourth win in their last five games. Junior G Umoja Gibson sank 8 of the Sooners' 11 3-pointers and scored a season-high 29 points as OU avoided a second consecutive loss. In its previous game, Oklahoma lost at home to then-No. 14 Texas Tech 69-67 (Dec. 22). Senior G Austin Reaves leads OU in scoring (15.5 PPG), rebounds (5.0 RPG) and assists (5.4 APG).
  2. Baylor knocked off Iowa State 76-65 on the road Saturday, failing to cover the 15.5-point spread. Junior G Jared Butler's 21 points led four Bears in double figures as Baylor prevailed in its narrowest margin of the season. The Bears won seven of their previous eight games by at least 29 points. Butler leads the Bears with 16.0 PPG, while sophomore F Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua leads in rebounds at 8.0 RPG.
  3. The Bears own a five-game win streak against the Sooners. Baylor swept last season's series: 65-54 at Oklahoma as a 2.5-point favorite Feb. 18, and 61-57 at home, failing to cover as a 10.5-point favorite, Jan. 20.

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Oklahoma at Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 87, Oklahoma 74

Money line (ML)

PASS. The Bears (-750), who lead the country in 3-point shooting at 43.8%, had their worst 3-point performance of the season in the Iowa State victory. They missed their first six 3-point attempts vs. ISU - all in the first half - and finished 4-for-19 (21.1%).

That won't happen Wednesday. The Bears' 3-point accuracy will return with this game on their home floor as they improve to 10-0; however, the -750 price is too steep and not worth the risk.

Against the spread (ATS)

BAYLOR -11.5 ( -110) is the way to go. Reiterating the 3-point story mentioned above, the Bears will light up the Sooners in this one. Oklahoma's 3-point defense is awful, allowing opponents to hit at a 39.6% rate, which ranks 332nd in the country.

ATS records: Oklahoma 4-4 | Baylor 7-2

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 151.5 ( -110) is the STRONGEST PLAY - 1Β½ times your usual wager. Oklahoma averages 81.8 PPG overall and 74.7 PPG in Big 12 games. Baylor averages 92.9 PPG overall (ranking 3rd in the nation) and 88.0 PPG in conference games.

Be warned: This goes against the series trend of 5 consecutive Unders. The key is the Bears coming off the bad 3-point outing. The 3's swish as they're back in their familiar confines of Ferrell Center.

O/U records: Oklahoma 4-4 | Baylor 4-5

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Johnny's 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays

21-17 / 8-10

CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays

6-0 / 3-0

2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays

14-5 / 8-2

2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays

178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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