NFL Wild Card: Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans odds, picks and prediction

The Baltimore Ravens (11-5) stop by Nissan Stadium Sunday to play the host Tennessee Titans (11-5) in a rematch of last year's Divisional Round matchup in the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. Kickoff is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Ravens-Titans betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Ravens at Titans: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:25 a.m. ET.

• Money line : Ravens -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Titans +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
• Against the spread/ATS : Ravens -3.5 (+100) | Titans +3.5 (-120)
• Over/Under : 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Ravens at Titans: Game notes

• The Ravens are rolling into the postseason on a five-game winning streak, four of which by at least 14 points, including a 38-3 trouncing of the Bengals in Cincinnati as 13.5-point favorites in Week 17. Baltimore's ground game trampled the Bengals for 404 rushing yards on 54 carries with 2 touchdowns. That was the fourth game in the last five the Ravens have rushed for at least 231 yards.
• Baltimore's gambling records: 10-6 ATS and 7-9 O/U.
• The Titans finished their season by clinching the AFC South after beating the Houston Texans 41-38 as 7-point road favorites behind a record-setting day from Derrick Henry who became the eighth NFL player to join the 2,000-rushing-yards club. Henry rushed for a franchise-record 250 yards in Week 17 to end the season with 2,027 rushing yards.
• Tennessee's gambling records: 7-9 ATS and 12-3-1 O/U.
• This is the third Ravens-Titans game in nearly a calendar year with Tennessee winning both in Baltimore including in last year's AFC Divisional Round (28-12 as 10-point underdogs) and in Week 11 this season (a 30-24 overtime win as 6-point 'dogs).

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Ravens at Titans: Key injuries

Ravens

• WR Willie Snead (ankle) questionable
• RT D.J. Fluker (knee) questionable
• OLB Yannick Ngakoue (thigh) questionable
• CB Jimmy Smith (ribs/shoulder) questionable
• CB Marlon Humphrey (shoulder) questionable

Titans

• NONE

Ravens at Titans: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Ravens 34, Titans 17

Money line ( ?)

If Lamar Jackson loses again to the Titans, it would make his career record 30-10 (including the playoffs) and three of those losses would've come vs. Tennessee, two in the postseason. It would be crazy for Tennessee to have that much of an edge over a QB whose future is as bright as Lamar's.

But, despite the recent head-to-head history, this is such a good matchup for the Ravens offense. Unless the Titans have cast some sort of magic spell on Baltimore, the Ravens should have a lot of success on offense.

The Titans are last in third-down defense, 30th in red zone scoring percentage, last in sack rate, 29th in Football Outsiders' defensive DVOA and 28th in net time of possession. The Ravens are nearly as formidable on offense as last year's record-setting Ravens team with MVP Lamar.

TAKE RAVENS (-175) to advance.

Against the spread ( ?)

You could make an argument that last year's Ravens-Titans game in the AFC Division Round would've gone differently if TE Mark Andrews is able to haul in pass that hit his hands on Baltimore's opening drive and ended up being an interception and if the Ravens convert a fourth-and-short on their second drive.

In this year's meeting, Baltimore was without the heart of its rush defense. DT Brandon Williams, free-agent acquisition DE Calais Campbell and Baltimore's best run defending LB L.J. Fort were all sidelined with an injury in the Ravens' Week 11 loss to the Titans.

Baltimore acquired Campbell specifically to address the Derrick Henry-specific issue the Ravens' rush defense had in last year's playoff loss, and the least-discussed factor of this game is Baltimore's defense being its healthiest.

GIMME RAVENS -3.5 (+100). Since the Ravens-Titans is hovering around the key number of 3, wait till closer to kickoff to see if you can get a flat-3. Also, my preference is to lay the points with Baltimore rather than take the money line, but either is fine.

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Over/Under ( ?)

Both teams want to be physical and run the ball, which keeps the clock moving, one thing that helps cash Unders. Also, people see how Baltimore's offense has been playing recently and Tennessee's has all season and figure we'll have a high-octane Ravens-Titans shootout.

Again, the Ravens have the 10th-highest net in time of possession, and if Baltimore gets out to a lead, my read is they'll take the air out of the ball and try to keep a potent Titans' offense on the sidelines.

I leanUNDER 54.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

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Also see:

• Bet Slippin' Podcast
• Ravens have shown they have what it takes to shut down Derrick Henry (Ravens Wire)
• Titans' causes for concern vs. Ravens in wild-card game (Titans Wire)

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