San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction
The San Antonio Spurs (4-4) visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-6) Saturday at the Target Center for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Timberwolves NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The Spurs won two straight on the road-both in the Staples Center-against the Los Angeles Lakers and the Clippers coming into Saturday's game. In their last game vs. the Lakers, San Antonio moved the ball well and threw 28 assists to just eight turnovers, which helped the Spurs connect on 45.7% of their 3-point attempts.
Minnesota started the season 2-0, but All-Star C Karl-Anthony Towns has been sidelined with a dislocated wrist he suffered during Minnesota's second game of the season. Since then, the Timberwolves have lost all six games without KAT, five of which by 15 or more points, and have only covered one game.
The Timberwolves won and covered both meetings last season vs. the Spurs. However, those games were all the way back in Nov. 2019, and Minnesota's two leading scorers in that game were KAT ("questionable" on the injury report) and SF Andrew Wiggins (no longer with the team).
Spurs at Timberwolves: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Spurs -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Timberwolves +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Against the spread/ATS : Spurs -4.5 (-120) | Timberwolves +4.5 (+100)
- Over/Under : 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Spurs at Timberwolves: Key Injuries
Spurs
- SG Derrick White (toe) out
Timberwolves
- C Karl-Anthony Towns (wrist) questionable
- SF Josh Okogie (hamstring) out
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Spurs at Timberwolves: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Timberwolves 123, Spurs 117
Money line (ML)
PASS ON THE MONEY LINE with a slight lean on Timberwolves (+165) since I am taking Minnesota plus the points. I do think the Timberwolves should be bigger underdogs, but maybe there's a reason for Minnesota's cheaper than expected money line.
Against the spread (ATS)
I am not sure what the sharps are seeing, but 76% of the money wagered is on the Timberwolves while 69% of the tickets/bets placed are on the Spurs, according to Pregame.com. Typically the money column is the sharp side, and the bets placed column is the average joe. Maybe some wiseguy with deep pockets has a tip on KAT's questionable game status.
This market intel is puzzling considering the Spurs are 6-2 ATS this year and have just gotten back-to-back wins over two Western Conference favorites. But regardless, this line has been bet down from Minnesota getting 7 points on the opener to the current number, and we should follow the money.
BET TIMBERWOLVES (+4.5, +100).
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 234.5 (-110) is my favorite bet in Spurs-Timberwolves. Minnesota is dead last in defensive rating, and San Antonio is ranked 21st in defensive while both teams are top-10 in pace of play. Also, before their last meeting, the Over has cashed in six straight Spurs-Timberwolves games.
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Also see:
- Anthony Edwards now has the highest-scoring game by a rookie this season (Rookie Wire)
- Hoops Hype rumors : Spurs | Timberwolves
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