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St. John’s at Creighton odds, picks and prediction

Geoff Clark
USA Today Sportsbookwire

The St. John's Red Storm (6-5, 1-4 Big East) visit the No. 5 Creighton Bluejays (9-2, 5-1) Saturday in a Big East battle in the CHI Health Center Omaha, Neb., at noon ET. Below, we analyze the St. John's-Creighton college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

St. John's at Creighton:Betting odds, spread andlines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line : St. John's +675 (bet $100 to win $675) | Creighton -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS : St. John's +13.5 (-115) | Creighton -13.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under : 158.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

St. John's at Creighton: Three things to know

  1. St. John's lost at Xavier 69-61 as 6.5-point underdogs in the Red Storm's first game since Dec. 20 because of COVID complications forcing the canceling or postponing of scheduled St. John's games. The Johnnies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
  2. The Bluejays have won five straight including a 36-point whooping their last time out as 6-point home favorites vs. Seton Hall. However, Creighton covering against Seton Hall snapped a three-game ATS losing skid for the Bluejays.
  3. Creighton (-7) took the first meeting between these two at St. John's 94-76 Dec. 17, which started its win streak and was the last of a three-game losing streak for the Red Storm. The Bluejays lit it up vs. the Johnnies, shooting 56.7% from the field including 13-of-23 from three and outrebounding St. John's 44-26.

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St. John's at Creighton: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Creighton 84, St. John's 77

Money line (ML)

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE. The St. John's money line should be closer to +900, and despite liking the Johnnies plus the points, they're a no-go straight up.

Against the spread (ATS)

St. John's has been terrible since entering conference play and are just 1-4 ATS in Big East games. But, Creighton hasn't been reliable vs. the number in this spot either: The Bluejays are 2-4 ATS in Big East games and 3-4 ATS as a home favorite this season. Also, aside from Villanova later this season this is the biggest game of the year for the St. John's.

Finally, this is shaping up to be a Pros vs. Joes game in the betting market with 51% of the money on St. John's while 78% of the bets are on Creighton, according to Pregame.com. Generally, the money column is considered the sharp side of the market so let's follow the money and BETST. JOHN'S +13.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Your brain might tell you to hope for an Under if we are taking a double-digit 'dog but St. John's defense is terrible, and Creighton is 31st in field-goal shooting and 42nd in 3-point shooting.

So if the Johnnies are going to cover the number, they'll have to put up some points. However, even if we miss with St. John's plus the points this game can still hit the Over. Three straight St. John's-Creighton meetings have gone Over the total and all three were double-digit blowouts.

GIMME OVER 158.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

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