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San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Esten McLaren
Sportsbook Wire

The San Antonio Spurs (5-4) and Minnesota Timberwolves (2-7) square off in the second half of a back-to-back Sunday at Target Center. Game 2 tips off at 8 p.m. ET following the Spurs' 125-122 overtime win Saturday. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Timberwolves NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Spurs trailed by 2 points heading into the fourth quarter of Saturday's contest but pulled even and then outscored the T-Wolves 12-9 in the extra session for their third straight win. Minnesota lost a seventh straight game.

The Timberwolves shot better from field-goal and 3-point range and won the rebounding battle. It was Minnesota's 16 turnovers and San Antonio's 24 points off of those turnovers that was the biggest difference. The Spurs had 8 steals as a team to just one for the 'Wolves.

Spurs at Timberwolves: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line : Spurs -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Timberwolves +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS : Spurs -3.5 (-110) | Timberwolves +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under : 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Timberwolves: Key Injuries

Spurs

  • PG Derrick White (toe) out

Timberwolves

  • None affecting betting lines

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Spurs at Timberwolves: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 120, Timberwolves 111

Money line (ML)

The SPURS (-160) are favored once again against the mightily struggling Timberwolves. It was Minnesota that exceeded expectations while forcing overtime Saturday, as the T-Wolves hit on 15 of 30 3-point attempts but average just 33.7% from distance as a team for the season. The Spurs' 13-for-32 performance Saturday was much more in line with their 40.5% season average.

Minnesota had the edge in rebounding, points in the paint and second-chance points Saturday, but San Antonio dominated in fast-break points and points off turnovers. The Spurs commit the fewest turnovers per game in the NBA and their ball control is the consistent advantage we can bank on for the second half of the back-to-back.

Against the spread (ATS)

Minnesota covered this same spread Saturday but improved to just 4-5 ATS for the season. San Antonio is 6-3 ATS. Saturday was the Spurs' first time being favored.

Back the SPURS -3.5 (-110) to win by at least 4 points and even the season series. The expected dropoff in the Timberwolves' 3-point shooting will widen the gap.

Over/Under (O/U)

Seven of the last eight Spurs-Timberwolves matchups played to the Over and Saturday's 125-122 final score topped the 235.5-point projection by 11.5 points, though it took overtime to get there and that was with a 3-point shooting anomaly from the hosts.

Take the UNDER 233.5 (-110) even with the line dropping 2 points from Saturday's projection. Both teams have played just one set of back-to-backs so far, but they each hit the Under in the second game, with San Antonio falling 35 points shy of the line in a 98-95 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans (Dec. 27) following a 119-114 win over the Toronto Raptors.

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