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Men's College Basketball

Michigan State at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

Skip Snow
Sportsbook Wire

The Michigan State Spartans (10-8 overall, 4-8 Big Ten) visit the Purdue Boilermakers (13-8 , 8-6) for a Tuesday night Big Ten battle tipping off at 7 p.m. ET at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Ind. Below, we analyze the Michigan State-Purdue college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Michigan State at Purdue:Odds, spread andlines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line : Michigan State +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Purdue -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS : Michigan State +5.5 (-105) | Purdue -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under : 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Michigan State at Purdue: Three things to know

  1. The Spartans went 2-1 over a three-game homestand. Now they head on the road where they have lost three in a row and five of their last six. Over those six games, MSU has gone 1-5 against the spread.
  2. The Boilermakers are 8-1 at home. Among the eight victories are wins against current-No. 4 Ohio State and three-possession triumphs over Minnesota and Penn State. The latter two teams rank considerably higher than MSU in the overall ratings.
  3. Michigan State has availability question marks with two of its guards. Junior G Foster Loyer (shoulder) is questionable and sophomore G Rocket Watts (illness) is probable. They are responsible for a combined 12.5 points and 3.2 rebounds per game.

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Michigan State at Purdue: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Purdue 73, Michigan State 62

Money line (ML)

The Boilermakers have been taking better care of the basketball of late (18 combined turnovers over the last two games after committing 12.3 TO per game from Jan. 2-Feb. 2).

Purdue is trending the right way, and MSU is not. Peg PU as a near-75% proposition; THERE IS SLIGHT VALUE ON PURDUE -250.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The home five have gone 4-1-1 ATS over the last six series meetings.

Against Wisconsin and Ohio State - two other slow-tempo Big Ten teams - MSU has gone 0-2 with an average ATS deficit of 11.5 points. The Boilermakers are a better rebounding team than the Badgers and Buckeyes.

Figure on a bounce for Purdue, which is coming off a Thursday loss at Minnesota, and on some road-game woes for the Spartans. This one gets near four-possession territory on the margin.

BACK THE BOILERMAKERS -5.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS on the basis of conflicting signals underlying trends on both sides.

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