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NBA

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Jess Root
Sportsbook Wire

The Miami Heat (11-16) continue their Western Conference road trip Wednesday by taking on the Golden State Warriors (15-13). Tip-off is at 10:05 p.m. ET at Chase Center in San Francisco. Below, we analyze the Heat-Warriors NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Heat at Warriors: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line : Heat -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Warriors -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS : Heat -1.5 (-105) | Warriors +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under : 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Heat at Warriors: Key injuries

Heat

  • SG Avery Bradley (calf) out
  • PG Goran Dragic (ankle) out
  • C Meyers Leonard (shoulder) out

Warriors

  • C James Wiseman (wrist) out
  • PF Kevon Looney (ankle) out

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Heat at Warriors: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Warriors 110, Heat 106

Money line (ML)

Golden State has played well at home this season, going 10-6, while Miami has gone 4-9 on the road.

The Heat are 3-3 as road favorites and the Warriors are 4-4 as home underdogs. Both teams are playing .500 ball over their last 10 games. I give a slight edge to the home team.

Take the WARRIORS (-105).

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Against the spread (ATS)

Miami has not been a good bet this season. The Heat are 9-17-1 ATS for the league's second-worst ATS record, and they are 5-8 ATS on the road.

Golden State is 14-14 ATS and 9-7 ATS at home. Golden State has the edge here, especially with the Heat missing Bradley and Dragic.

Take the WARRIORS +1.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

Four of the Warriors' last five games have gone Under and both teams are near the bottom of the league in Over percentage. Warriors games go Over only 42.9% of the time and Miami is only slightly better at 44.4%.

Take UNDER 223.5 POINTS (-110).

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