Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and prediction
The Ottawa Senators (4-12-1) look to make it two in a row against the Toronto Maple Leafs (11-3-2) after coming back from a 5-1 deficit to win 6-5 in overtime Monday. Wednesday's puck drop at Scotiabank Arena will be at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Senators-Maple Leafs NHL odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Ottawa scored three times in the third period, including RW Evgenii Dadonov's game-tying goal with 2:01 remaining to force overtime. Dadonov scored again 2:19 into the extra session to cap the comeback and give the Sens back-to-back wins for the first time this season.
Toronto has dropped two straight following a four-game win streak. The teams will play for the fifth time this season Thursday before going their separate ways until mid-March.
Senators at Maple Leafs: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Senators +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Maple Leafs -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Senators +1.5 (+105) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under : 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +105)
Senators at Maple Leafs: Projected starting goalies
Marcus Hogberg (2-5-0, .860 SV%, 4.32 GAA) vs. Frederik Andersen (9-3-2, .901 SV%, 2.79 GAA)
Hogberg has quickly turned his season around with starter Matt Murray temporarily sidelined by a neck injury. After stopping 30 of 31 shots in a road win over the Winnipeg Jets Saturday, he made 33 saves on 38 shots against the Leafs and was much better than the stat line in giving his team a fighting chance.
Andersen has taken back-to-back losses and his 6 goals allowed Monday were the most he has surrendered in a start this season. He had given up just 6 goals in his previous four outings while going 3-1-0 and posting a .950 SV%.
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Senators at Maple Leafs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Maple Leafs 4, Senators 1
Money line (ML)
The Maple Leafs will likely get back on track Wednesday, but we have to chase the value and back SENATORS (+275) with a small money line bet. Following Monday's valiant effort, they've now taken two of three from the Leafs this season.
Still, Monday's result is sure to motivate both sides coming into the rematch and that'll play in Toronto's favor. Andersen, in particular, will want to quickly wipe away the humbling loss. We'll back Toronto on the spread, but there's great value in taking Ottawa at this inflated number.
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Against the spread (ATS)
The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (-125) are so heavily favored we need to pay into the vig for a 2-goal win and that's OK. Toronto led 2-1 after the first period and 5-1 until the 19:51 mark of the second before seeing its lead evaporate Monday.
Total shot attempts, including blocked and missed shots, were split 50-50 at 5-on-5 and the Leafs registered 53.45% of the scoring chances at full strength. Toronto still has a 15-point lead in the North Division and will put forth a better 60-minute effort following Monday's embarrassment.
Over/Under (O/U)
Back the UNDER 6.5 (+105) while counting on a much better effort from Andersen.
The Sens were 0-6-1 against the Over/Under in their previous seven games before Monday's barn burner. The Leafs were on a run of four straight Under results.
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