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MLB

2021 New York Mets World Series, win total, pennant and division odds

Johnny Parlay
Sportsbook Wire

The New York Mets finished 12 games under .500 in last year's shortened season, posting a 26-34 mark to place fourth in the National League East. Below, we look at the New York Mets'MLB futures odds, including their projected 2021 win total and World Series odds at BetMGM .

The big news in the offseason was the trade for four-time All-Star SS Francisco Lindor from the Cleveland Indians. The Mets also added C James McCann and OF Kevin Pillar as free-agent signings.

The big bat in the order still belongs to 1B Pete Alonso. The 2019 Rookie of the Year hit .231 with a team-high 16 homers and 35 RBIs last season, one year after smashing an MLB-best 53 homers with 120 RBIs

Two-time NL Cy Young winner RHP Jacob deGrom is still the ace. The Mets hope RHP Noah Syndergaard returns in June after having Tommy John surgery. The additions of RHP Taijuan Walker, LHP Joey Luchessi and RHP Carlos Carrasco, who was part of the Lindor trade, should give the rotation a boost.

Unfortunately, eight-time All-Star 2B Robinson Cano (.316, 10 HR, 30 RBIs last year) was suspended for the entire 2021 season after testing positive for performance-enhancing drugs for the second time in his career.

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New York Mets' 2021 World Series odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, March 10 at 10:48 a.m. ET.

Odds: +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)

Only five teams have shorter odds than the Mets. The Los Angeles Dodgers are the favorites at +350, followed by the New York Yankees (+600), Atlanta Braves (+900), San Diego Padres (+900) and Chicago White Sox (+1000).

At +1200, the Mets' implied probability of winning the World Series is 7.69% or 12/1 fractional odds.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are the biggest long shots at +15000, which is an implied probability of 0.66% or 150/1. The Arizona Diamondbacks, Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals are each +10000 for an implied probability of 0.99% or 100/1.

With a nucleus of Lindor, Alonso and deGrom, the METS (+ 1200), who last made the playoffs in 2016, are a decent play for a small wager.

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New York Mets' 2021 win total

Over/Under: 90.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

This number is too high. The Mets haven't won more than 90 games since 2006.

It's a big ask for a team that finished 12 games under .500 a year ago.

Bet the UNDER!

Odds to win the NL East Division

  • Braves: +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Mets: +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Washington Nationals: +650 (bet $100 to win $650)
  • Philadelphia Phillies: +800 (bet $100 to win $800)
  • Miami Marlins: +1600 (bet $100 to win $1,600)

The Mets' implied probability of winning the division is 40% or 3/2 fractional odds. I'm not a fan of a +150 wager here. I'd prefer a better payoff - Ex: The Nationals' +650 offers better value.

Odds to win the National League

Odds: +600 (bet $100 to win $600)

Three teams have shorter odds - the Dodgers (+175), Padres (+400) and Braves (+500).

At +600, the Mets' implied probability of winning the NL pennant is 14.29% or 6/1 fractional odds.

The Pirates (+8000) and Diamondbacks (+5000) are the longest shots.

A 6-to-1 payoff doesn't seem worth the trouble to me here.

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