Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers odds, picks and prediction
The Ottawa Senators (9-18-1) and Edmonton Oilers (16-11-0) play the second game of a three-game set at Rogers Place Wednesday. Puck drop will be at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Senators-Oilers odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.
The Senators are 1-3-0 four games into a six-game road trip. They followed a 4-3 shootout win over the Calgary Flames Sunday with a 3-2 loss to the Oilers Monday. Edmonton was up 3-1 late before Sens rookie LW Tim Stutzle cut the margin in half with 2:03 to go.
The Oilers have won back-to-back games over the Flames and Senators. They lost their previous three following a five-game win streak. They'll play eight of 10 games on the road after this series.
Senators at Oilers: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Senators +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Oilers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Senators +1.5 (-130) | Oilers -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under : 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Senators at Oilers: Projected starting goalies
Matt Murray (7-11-1, .885 SV%, 3.66 GAA) at Mike Smith (7-2-0, .925 SV%, 2.29 GAA)
Murray had the night off Monday after stopping 31 of 34 shots in the victory over the Flames. He allowed 4 and 6 goals in two losses to the Flames in his past four games. He has won two or more games in a row just once this season.
Smith has been the better of the two regular Oilers goaltenders but in a much smaller sample size. He gave up 6 goals on 32 shots to the Toronto Maple Leafs last Wednesday but bounced back to allow just 2 goals on 36 shots in a win over the Flames Saturday.
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Senators at Oilers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Senators 4, Oilers 3
Money line (ML)
The SENATORS (+200) should be primed to double your money after losing by just a single goal Monday. RW Evgenii Dadonov opened the scoring just 0:56 into the game.
The Oilers certainly have the more potent offense with 3.19 goals scored per game to the Senators' 2.64, but both allow over 3 goals per game and both successfully kill under 77% of penalties.
Ottawa and Edmonton are 16th and 17th, respectively, in Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5, and they're 19th and 20th, respectively, in scoring chances at full strength.
TAKE THE SENATORS(+200) to win in a game that should be priced closer to a pick 'em.
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Against the spread (ATS)
There has been value in backing the SENATORS +1.5 (-130) due to their skewed money line prices for much of the season. They're a quality 14-14 ATS while being underdogs in every game. Edmonton is just 11-16 ATS.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 6.5 (-110) is the play with Murray still struggling mightily with consistency and Smith prone to high scores, as well.
All four head-to-head meetings played to the Under, but there's some correction coming with both teams ranked in the top 10 of the league in shots on goal per game.
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