2021 San Diego Padres World Series, win total, pennant and division odds
The San Diego Padres hope to keep the momentum going after last year's playoff appearance, the franchise's first since 2006. Below, we look at the San Diego Padres'MLB futures odds, including their projected 2021 win total and World Series odds at BetMGM .
The Friars finished 37-23 in the pandemic-shortened season, placing second in the NL West. They beat the St. Louis Cardinals 2-1 in a best-of-three NL Wild Card Series before getting swept in a three-game NL Division Series by the eventual World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Padres made big news in the offseason by trading for two aces. They acquired RHP Yu Darvish from the Chicago Cubs and 2018 AL Cy Young winner LHP Blake Snell from the Tampa Bay Rays. Darvish was last year's NL Cy Young runner-up to Cincinnati Reds RHP Trevor Bauer, who is now with the rival Dodgers.
They'll join RHP Dinelson Lamet atop the rotation. Lamet was a pleasant surprise in 2020, posting a 2.09 ERA with a 3-1 record in 12 starts, good enough to place fourth in the NL Cy Young race.
Offensively, the Padres are led by 3B Manny Machado (.304, 16 HRs, 47 RBIs last season), SS Fernando Tatis Jr. (.277, 17, 45) and RF Wil Myers (.288, 15, 40). Machado and Tatis finished third and fourth, respectively, in last year's NL MVP voting.
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San Diego Padres' 2021 World Series odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, March 12 at 8:15 a.m. ET.
Odds: +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
Only two teams have shorter odds. The Dodgers (+350) are the favorites, followed by the New York Yankees (+550). The Chicago White Sox (+900) have the same odds as the Padres.
At +900, San Diego's implied probability of winning the World Series is 10% or 9/1 fractional odds.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are the biggest long shots at +20000, which is an implied probability of 0.50% or 200/1.
With a 9-to-1 payoff, the PADRES (+ 900) are good enough to make a small World Series futures wager on them.
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San Diego Padres' 2021 win total
Over/Under: 94.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Last year's 37-23 record in 60 games equates to 100-62 in a 162-game season. While the Padres are definitely good enough to win 95 or more games, it's a tough ask. I lean UNDER 94.5 (- 110).
Odds to win the NL West Division
- Dodgers: -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Padres: +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Arizona Diamondbacks: +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
- Colorado Rockies: +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
- San Francisco Giants: +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
The Padres' implied probability of winning the NL West is 33.43% or 2/1 fractional odds. The value just isn't there. PASS.
Odds to win the National League
Odds: +425 (bet $100 to win $425)
The Dodgers (+180) are the only club with shorter odds, while the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets are tied for fourth at +600.
The Padres' +425 NL title odds are an implied probability of 19.05% or 17/4 fractional odds.
It's no surprise Pittsburgh (+10000) is the longest shot to win the NL crown. That's an implied probability of 0.99% or 100/1 fractional odds.
SAN DIEGO (+ 425) definitely has the talent to win the NL pennant, so I'm willing to make up to a $50 wager here.
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