2021 Minnesota Twins World Series, win total, pennant and division odds
The Minnesota Twins enter 2021 with a shot at winning a third consecutive AL Central crown, but there's no question the overall goal is to go deeper than that. Below, we look at the Minnesota Twins'MLB futures odds, including their projected 2021 win total and World Series odds at BetMGM .
Minnesota made minor tweaks this offseason. The Twins went 36-24 in last year's shortened season before getting swept by the Houston Astros in a two-game AL Wild Card Series.
The biggest addition was the signing of free-agent SS Andrelton Simmons. He hit .297 last year and batted .281 across the past five seasons for the Los Angeles Angels. Veteran Jorge Polanco, who started 53 games at short in 2020, moves to second base.
With RHPs Jose Berrios, Kenta Maeda and Michael Pineda returning as the core of the rotation, the Twins added two veterans to the backend in LHP J.A. Happ and RHP Matt Shoemaker. Happ was 2-2 with a 3.47 ERA in nine starts for the New York Yankees last year, while Shoemaker went 0-1 with a 4.71 ERA for the Toronto Blue Jays - he only started six games due to a midseason injury.
Offseason losses include LF Eddie Rosario (now with the Cleveland Indians), IF/OF Marwin Gonzalez (Boston Red Sox) and LHP Rich Hill (Tampa Bay Rays).
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Minnesota Twins' 2021 World Series odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, March 13 at 2:52 p.m. ET.
Odds: +1800 (bet $100 to win $1,800)
At +1800, the Twins have an implied probability of winning the World Series of 5.26% or 18/1 fractional odds.
Six teams have shorter odds, leading with the World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers (+350). The New York Yankees (+550) are next, followed by the Chicago White Sox (+900), San Diego Padres (+900). Atlanta Braves (+1000) and New York Mets (+1000).
On the other end of the spectrum are the Pittsburgh Pirates (+20000) and Texas Rangers (+15000).
Minnesota has consistently struggled in past postseasons, but backing the TWINS (+ 1800) to win it all isn't a bad bet. I'd risk no more than my usual ATS or O/U play.
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Minnesota Twins' 2021 win total
Over/Under: 88.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Minnesota won 101 games two seasons ago. Last year's 36 wins in 60 games equate to 97 victories in a full 162-game season.
The White Sox will be the biggest challenger in the AL Central. The Twins shouldn't have to worry about the Indians (middle of the pack), Detroit Tigers (awful) and Kansas City Royals (almost as bad as Detroit).
As long as the Twins avoid major injuries, OVER 88.5 is a LOCK!
Odds to win the AL Central Division
- White Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Twins: +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Indians: +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
- Royals: +4000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
- Tigers: +6600 (bet $100 to win $6,600)
The Twins' implied probability of winning the AL Central is 40% or 3/2 fractional odds. There's just not enough value on the Twins. PASS.
Odds to win the American League
Odds: +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
At +750, the Twins' implied probability to win the AL pennant is 11.76% or 15/2 fractional odds.
Only the Yankees (+240) and White Sox (+400) have shorter odds. Texas (+8000) is the biggest long shot.
At least +750 offers a little bit of value compared to the +150 to win the AL Central.
I'm PASSING because I'm betting the World Series future at 18-to-1, and I don't want to lose twice. Though, I'd consider splitting my World Series bet into two bets - Twins AL Champs (+ 750) and Twins WS champs (+1800).
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