Washington Wizards at New York Knicks odds, picks and prediction
The Washington Wizards (15-26) drop by Madison Square Garden Tuesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the New York Knicks (21-22). Below, we analyze the Wizards-Knicks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Washington is 1-6 straight up and 3-4 against the spread in seven games since the All-Star break, including a 113-106 loss to the Brooklyn Nets as 9-point road underdogs Sunday.
The Knicks lost an overtime heartbreaker to the Philadelphia 76ers 101-100 Sunday and are 2-4 straight up but 3-2-1 ATS to start the second half of their season. New York's four losses over this stretch were to the top-three teams in the Eastern Conference.
Wizards SG Bradley Beal missed the first head-to-head meeting this season and New York waxed Washington 109-91 as a 3-point road favorite.
Wizards at Knicks: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.
- Money line : Wizards +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Knicks -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Wizards +2.5 (-110) | Knicks -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under : 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Wizards at Knicks: Key injuries
Wizards
- C Dāvis Bertāns (calf) out
- PG Ish Smith (quadriceps) out
Knicks
- SG Immanuel Quickley (ankle) probable
- PG Elfrid Payton (hamstring) questionable
- C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) probable
- SG Austin Rivers (personal) out
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Wizards at Knicks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Knicks 114, Wizards 108
Money line (ML)
PASS with a slight lean on Knicks (-140) because it's on the cusp of a playable NBA regular-season money line for me.
I'd entertain putting it in a parlay with another favorite to get a plus-money payout.
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Against the spread (ATS)
There are a few favorable trends for New York in this game such as the Knicks being 5-2 ATS as slight favorites (laying between 1-2.5 points), 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite, and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight-up loss.
Also, Washington really struggles against good defenses. According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Wizards are 4-11 overall with the 28th-ranked net points per 100 possessions against top-10 defenses.
Furthermore, against bottom-10 teams in net points per 100 possessions, the Knicks are 12-6 overall with a plus-5.4 margin in net efficiency and the sixth-highest ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
GIMME KNICKS -2.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight lean towards the UNDER 223.5 (-110) because the Knicks have the third-best defensive rating in the NBA and do an awesome job defending how the Wizards like to play.
For instance, New York has a top-10 defensive mid-range shooting percentage, and Washington attempts a high-volume of mid-range shots with its best players-Beal and PG Russell Westbrook-spending most of their time in the mid-range.
Eight of the previous 10 Wizards-Knicks games played to the Under so I leanUNDER 223.5 (-110) for a tiny wager.
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