Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction
The Denver Nuggets (28-18) host the Philadelphia 76ers (32-14) Tuesday for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off at Ball Arena. Below, we analyze the 76ers-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
This is Philadelphia's fifth game in a six-game road trip and the Sixers just had their three-game win streak snapped by the Los Angeles Clippers Saturday in a 122-112 loss as 5.5-point road underdogs.
Since the All-Star break, the Sixers are 8-2 straight up (SU) and 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) while outscoring opponents 115.1-103.6 on average.
Denver has won back-to-back games and three of its past four contests while going 3-1 ATS, including a 113-108 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans Friday and a 126-102 blowout win against the Atlanta Hawks Sunday.
The Nuggets beat the brakes out of a Ben Simmons-, Tobias Harris- and Joel Embiid-less Sixers team 115-103 Jan. 9, but they failed to cover as 13.5-point road favorites due to Philly outscoring Denver 31-22 in the fourth quarter to sneak in the backdoor.
76ers at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line : 76ers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : 76ers +5 (-110) | Nuggets -5 (-110)
- Over/Under : 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
76ers at Nuggets: Key injuries
76ers
- C Joel Embiid (knee) out
- SG George Hill (thumb) out
Nuggets
- SG Monte Morris (quadriceps) out
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76ers at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Nuggets 114, 76ers 104
Money line (ML)
PASS because Denver is the right side but the Nuggets (-200) are too expensive for a straight up win.
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Against the spread (ATS)
BET NUGGETS -5 (-110) for 1 unit.
With no Embiid to worry about and Denver reinforcing its frontcourt at the trade deadline by acquiring PF Aaron Gordon and C JaVale McGee, the Nuggets can extend their perimeter defense to prevent elite Philly 3-point shooters SG Danny Green and PG Seth Curry from lighting them up.
Furthermore, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Denver is 10-5 SU with the sixth-highest net rating in points per 100 possessions and the thirrd-best ATS margin (plus-5.1 points) vs. teams in the top-10 of defensive efficiency.
Also, Denver is 5-4 ATS at home against winning teams and 6-3 ATS when laying between 5-7 points while Philly is 2-5 as a road dog.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight LEAN toward UNDER 220.5 (-105) for one-fifth of a unit because the Nuggets are my preferred side and they play at the second-slowest pace in the league.
According to Pregame.com, more money is on the Under whereas more bets have been placed on the Over and typically the money column is the sharp side of the market.
Bookmakers are reacting to the Under money and have dropped this total from the 222-point opener so if you like the Under you should bet it before the total gets any lower.
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Also see:
- Rivers reacts to Aldridge joining Nets (Sixers Wire)
- Howard apologetic following recent ejections (Sixers Wire)
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