New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction
The New York Yankees (7-11) and Cleveland Indians (8-9) meet Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET to continue a four-game series at Progressive Field. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Yankees vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Jordan Montgomery is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. In 13 starts over the last two years, Montgomery is 3-4 with a 4.87 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 over 61 IP. The southpaw was hurt by 2 home runs in each of his last two starts, both against the Tampa Bay Rays.
LHP Logan Allen is the projected starter for the Indians. Over 3 starts and 3 relief appearances in 2020-21, he is 1-2 with a 3.97 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 4.8 BB/9 over 22 2/3 IP. Allen was solid but unspectacular over his first two starts this season, but he lasted only 2 innings in start No. 3 last Friday at the Cincinnati Reds.
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Yankees at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Indians +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Indians +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Yankees 6, Indians 4
Money line (ML)
The Yankees limped into this series with a 3-9 record over their last 12 games. New York had scored just 3.1 runs per game over that anemic stretch, and the batting slump was a team-wide one. Over the 12 games, the Yankees slashed .190/.274/.312. In Game 1 of this series, the Yanks scored 6 runs on 11 hits and 9 walks.
The Indians haven't produced much on offense either, but Cleveland toted a 3.45 ERA into this four-game series against the Yanks.
New York is a lean on the ML but only at -140 or better. PASS otherwise.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Montgomery does well to avoid hard contact, but he's been hurt by an unusually high percentage of fly balls leaving the yard early on. New York scuffles against left pitching, but they figure to be the better of the two attacks despite the poor start.
Plus, the Cleveland bullpen leans heavily to the right, so much of New York's platoon disadvantage departs alongside Allen.
New York has the better bullpen; peg Cleveland's 3.29 relief ERA as overbilling a unit likely more average in the long haul.
TAKE THE YANKEES -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under (O/U)
There is a pull of gravity on these offenses - both operating with some bad luck in high-leverage situations - and Friday's weather forecast calls for more moderate temperatures than the freeze of Thursday's affair. The forecast also projects a slight batters' breeze out to right.
BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-105) and keep an eye on the line; the market has wiggled around +100 to -105 territory on the top side of the 8.5 total. Assume less risk when you can.
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