Boxing

Emanuel Navarrete vs. Christopher Diaz fight odds, picks and prediction

Joe Williams

Sportsbook Wire

We get a 12-round WBO featherweight title bout Saturday when Emanuel Navarrete and Christopher Diaz meet at Silver Spurs Arena in Kissimmee, Fla. The undercard is set to begin at 6 p.m. ET, with the Navarrete-Diaz fight set for approximately 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Navarrete vs. Diaz odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on ESPN/ESPN+.

Navarrete vs. Diaz: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

Emanuel Navarrete -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Christopher Diaz +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Draw +2500

Navarrete has an implied win probability of 90.91% with the -1000 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/10 or a decimal of 1.1.

Navarrete vs. Diaz: Tale of the tape

Emanuel Navarrete

Navarrete (32-1, 27 KOs) puts his title on the line. The "Vaquero" has registered 27 knockouts in his 33 professional bouts. He hasn't recorded a KO win in three bouts since Feb. 22, 2020, when he dropped Jeo Santisima. His next fight at Gimnasio TV Azteca in Mexico City resulted in a no contest against Uriel Lopez, and then he went the distance before outpointing Ruben Villa in The Bubble at MGM Grand in Las Vegas Oct. 9, 2020 last time out.

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Christopher Diaz

Diaz (26-2, 16 KOs) heads into this one looking for a strap, but he is a decisive underdog. "Pitufo" has rebounded with unanimous-decision wins over Adeilson Dos Santos and Jason Sanchez in two bouts since a unanimous-decision loss to Shakur Stevenson on April 20, 2019. He has lost two of his past five fights, including a title bout for the WBO belt against Masayuki Ito July 28, 2018 at the nearby Kissimmee Civic Center.

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Navarrete vs. Diaz: Odds, predictions and picks

Navarrete (-1000) will cost you 10 times your potential return, which isn't a great return. A better play is taking NAVARRETE ON POINTS (+140) at plus-money.

Navarrete has recorded knockouts in 27 of his 32 victories, so it seems like it would be a good play. However, While Diaz has lost two of his past five fights, he has gone the distance in each of those bouts. He has proven he can eat a lot of punches and stick around. Look for this one to go the distance, with Navarrete keeping his belt by the skin of his teeth.

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