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MLB

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers odds, picks and prediction

Skip Snow
Sportsbook Wire

The Los Angeles Angels (10-10) and Texas Rangers (9-13) play the first game of a four-game series at 8:05 p.m. ET Monday at Globe Life Field. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Angels vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Shohei Ohtani is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels. He is 0-0 with a 1.04 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 14.5 K/9 and 11.4 BB/9 through 8 2/3 IP spanning 2 starts. Ohtani has been near unhittable in his two starts, but he's battled control problems. In his last start (also against Texas), he walked 6 batters in 4 IP.

RHP Jordan Lyles is the projected starter for the Rangers. He is 1-1 with a 4.64 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 1.3 BB/9 across 21 1/3 IP over 4 starts. Lyles allowed 3 runs on 5 hits in 6 IP against the Angels last Tuesday.

With CF Mike Trout (out the last three days due to an elbow injury but expected to play Monday) leading the way, current Los Angeles bats own a robust .872 OPS against the Texas righty. Trout is 5-for-15 with 4 extra-base hits against Lyles.

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Angels at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Angels -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Rangers +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Angels -1.5 (+100) | Rangers +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Angels 4, Rangers 3

Money line (ML)

The Halos lost 3 of 4 to the Houston Astros over the weekend, and they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games. The Rangers were swept in a three-game set against the Chicago White Sox and are just 3-6 over their last nine games.

Small-sample batter-vs.-pitcher lines favor Los Angeles in this matchup.

BACK THE ANGELS (-160) on a small lean.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID the Los Angeles side on the run line due to a significant Under lean.

Over/Under (O/U)

The top play in Monday's series opener is on the UNDER 8.5 (+100).

Analytic support numbers favor both bullpens as being average at worst, but they both tote ERAs of 5-plus into the final week of April. Peg both offenses as being a bit too far over their skis as well.

Add in some optimism on the Ohtani side, and the probability of a 6- or 7-run game makes the risk acceptable.

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