Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction
The Miami Marlins (9-12) and Milwaukee Brewers (13-8) meet at American Family Field to open a three-game series Monday at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Trevor Rogers is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 2-1 with a 1.64 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 12.7 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 22 IP over 4 starts. Rogers is coming off a superb outing against the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday (7 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 8 K).
RHP Corbin Burnes is the projected starter for the Brewers. He is 2-1 with a 0.37 ERA, 0.33 WHIP, 14.8 K/9 and 0.0 BB/9 in 24 1/3 IP over 4 starts. Burnes has been ultra-consistent, pitching 6 or 6/13 IP each start, striking out between 9-11, and walking none. He has benefited from a .171 batting average on balls in play and a 100% left-on-base rate, but the Milwaukee right-hander has exhibited a significant uptick in velocity and has produced a tremendous 19.6% swinging-strike rate through four turns.
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Marlins at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Marlins +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Brewers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-145) | Brewers -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Marlins 4, Brewers 3
Money line (ML)
Milwaukee closed out a six-game road trip with a 6-0 win at Wrigley Field Sunday. The Brewers won five of those six games and head into this week in first place in the NL Central. Miami dropped its series finale at the San Francisco Giants Sunday and is just 2-5 over its last 7 games.
The Fish don't settle into an easy travel slot here, but Rogers gives them more than just a puncher's chance. Miami has the better bullpen and it's one with the best arms better rested.
BACK THE MARLINS ( +150).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Miami is a fair play at the current run-line tag. Consider the MARLINS +1.5 (-145) as a decent value, especially with such a low run total.
Over/Under (O/U)
Lean into some gravity on this play and BACK THE OVER 6 (-120). Neither offense is off to a great start and if the retractable roof is open for this one, the pitching stands to benefit from an inward breeze. But the starters' surface numbers appear to be weighed too heavily here.
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