UFC on ESPN 23: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Cody Stamann odds, picks and prediction

In a bantamweight bout on Saturday's main card, Merab Dvalishvili and Cody Stamann meet at UFC on ESPN 23 - also known as UFC Vegas 25 - at the UFC's APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ ESPN+, with the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 23 Dvalishvili vs. Stamann odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

UFC on ESPN 23 Dvalishvili vs. Stamann:Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

• Fight result (2-way line) : Dvalishvili -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Stamann +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
• Over/Under : 2.5 rounds (Over -375 | Under +290)
• Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -300 | No +240)

Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM Sportsbook. Take advantage of this offer and bet now!

UFC on ESPN 23 Dvalishvili vs. Stamann: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Dvalishvili 12-4 | Stamann 19-3-1

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Dvalishvili (-250) will cost you two-and-a-half times your potential return, and that's not a good bet on the 2-way line. Instead we'll need to get a little more specific.

Dvalishvili enters on a five-bout win streak, all by unanimous decision, since his last loss by KO/TKO April 21, 2018 against Ricky Simon. Stamann (+200) is just 2-2-1 across the past five fights, with each of his past four fights going the distance.

As such, take DVALISHVILI ON POINTS (-165) for a much better value, as there is a more than good chance the favorite needs to get the judges involved to get his arm raised. He ranks in the Top 10 in the division with four victories by decision. Dvalishvili also ranks third in the division in control time percentage at 44.5, and he is eighth in total control time at 39:58.

Play our new free daily Pick'em Challenge and win! Play now !

Over/Under (O/U)

The book expects the fight to end via decision, and there is really no value in playing Yes (-300): Will the fight go the distance? You'll need to risk three times your potential return, and that's just not a good decision.

AVOID.

To watch the early prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC on ESPN 23? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

MMA Junkie:

• UFC on ESPN 23 weigh-in results: Two heavy; Reyes vs. Prochazka clear (usatoday.com)
• Photos: UFC on ESPN 23 ceremonial weigh-ins and faceoffs (usatoday.com)

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter andus on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.