New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction
The New York Yankees (18-16) play the Tampa Bay Rays (19-17) in the opener of a three-game series Tuesday. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET at Tropicana Field. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Yankeesvs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Jordan Montgomery is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 1-1 with a 4.41 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 32 2/3 IP over 6 starts.
Montgomery has faced the Rays twice already this season, and in those outings surrendered 8 ER and 4 HR over 11 combined IP with 11 K and 4 BB. In his other four starts, he has allowed a total of just one home run.
RHP Luis Patino is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 1-0 with a 1.17 ERA, 0.52 WHIP, 11.7 K/9 and 1.2 BB/9 in 7 2/3 IP spanning his three appearances (one start).
Patino has looked dominant in the limited sample so far. He had 5 K in 3 IP in a relief appearance against the Los Angeles Angels last week, but he threw just 56 pitches, and can't be expected to work very deep into the game.
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Yankees at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Rays +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS : Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Rays +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under : 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Rays 4, Yankees 3
Money line (ML)
In general, the Rays aren't great vs left-handed pitching, as they rank 20th in wRC+ in the split, along with the second-highest K%. Montgomery has struggled against the Rays, though, and dating back to last year, has allowed 6 homers in just 11 2/3 IP against them.
Patino will probably only work 3-4 innings, but he is a good bet to hold the Yankees bats in check while he's in there. While the Yankees offense has been mashing against lefties, they rank just 17th in wRC+ vs right-handers.
Look for the RAYS (+110) to pull off the minor upset.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Rays have fared well against the Yankees so far this season, winning five of the six matchups and outscoring them 36-20.
Four of Tampa Bay's last seven losses were by just a single run, and this sets up to be another close game. Take the RAYS +1.5 (-155).
Over/Under (O/U)
With Tampa facing a tough lefty and New York going up against a good young right-hander, neither offense should be expected to have a big day; however, Montgomery has certainly had his issues against the Rays, so it's easy to see this one going either way.
It is probably best to just PASS on the total.
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