Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

The Los Angeles Angels (16-20) travel to Beantown for a three-game set with the Boston Red Sox (23-16) in Fenway Park starting Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. dropped back-to-back games to the Houston Astros, losing its previous series 2-1 after taking two of three against the defending-champion Los Angeles Dodgers.

But, the Angels were swept four games to nil by the Tampa Bay Rays in the previous series and are just 3-7 in their last 10 games.

Boston snapped a three-game losing skid and prevented a three-game sweep by beating the Oakland Athletics 8-1 yesterday. The Red Sox are 6-4 in their past 10 games.

Season series: 0-0.

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RHP Griffin Canning is on the rubber for the Angels. Canning is 3-2 with a 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 across 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.

• Last outing: Win, 9-2, in 5 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 4 K last Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
• Career vs. the Red Sox: No appearances.

RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starter for the Red Sox. Pivetta is 5-0 with a 3.19 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 over 7 starts.

• Last outing: Win, 4-3, in 6 IP with 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 2 K Sunday at the Baltimore Orioles.
• Career vs. the Angels: No appearances.

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Angels at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.

• Money line: Angels +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Angels -1.5 (+150) | Red Sox +1.5 (-185)
• Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Angels 6, Red Sox 3

Money line (ML)

"LEAN" to the ANGELS (+100)FIRST 5 INNINGS because I like L.A.'s starting pitcher more today because Pivetta allows a lot more free passes than Canning.

But, Boston's bullpen is one of the best in the league and L.A.'s in is in the bottom-10 of several advanced pitching categories so I'm avoiding the Angels on the full games.

Both lineups are in the top-10 of wOBA and wRC+ but they are also in the bottom-3 in BB%. However, Pivetta is in the 11th percentile of BB%, 17th percentile in whiff%, and 37th percentile in expected wOBA.

Also, Canning is coming into this start with momentum after just beating the Dodgers in his previous outing and making his first career start in Fenway Park.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because I don't like the prices of the run lines, alternate run lines and either for the First 5 innings as well.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight "LEAN" to the UNDER 5.5 (-125) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a quarter unit because my read is Canning has a second straight solid outing and L.A.'s lineup can do the damage it needs to Pivetta to gain a lead.

My hesitancy and refusal to bet the full-game Under is because the Angels bullpen is a bottom-10 unit and could certainly give back a lead and open the backdoor for the Over.

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