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MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Johnny Parlay
Sportsbook Wire

The Los Angeles Dodgers (25-18) look to complete a four-game sweep of the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks (18-26) Thursday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (on MLB Network). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-0

The Dodgers took the first three games of this series by scores of 3-1, 9-1 and 4-2. Wednesday's two-run victory saw L.A. rally behind a 3-run seventh inning with the tying and go-ahead runs scoring when Arizona RF Josh Rojas dropped a fly ball with one out and the bags loaded.

RHP Merrill Kelly is Thursday's projected starting pitcher for Arizona. The three-year veteran is 2-4 with a 5.24 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 8 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-1 home defeat to Miami Marlins May 13
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 5.06 ERA (16 IP, 9 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 3 starts

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The Dodgers plan to make this a bullpen game, starting an unnamed opener as of this publishing. RHP Trevor Bauer (4-2, 2.20 ERA) was originally scheduled to start, but the team pushed him to Friday to face the first-place San Francisco Giants.

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line : Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS : Off the board
  • Over/Under : 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

Back the DODGERS (- 175) to win a HALF UNIT.

The Dodgers are riding a 3-game win streak and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. The Diamondbacks are doing just the opposite, losing 4 in a row, 7 of 8 and 10 of 13.

The Dodgers are also 15-6 at home this season, while the D-backs are 9-17 on the road.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Once BetMGM posts the line, whatever the odds are, LOS ANGELES -1.5 is the STRONGEST PLAY.

We hit the Dodgers' -1.5 (-145) alternate line Wednesday and the play is to back 'em here again. L.A. is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games; Arizona is 1-7 ATS in its last eight.

As mentioned in Wednesday's handicap, the Dodgers don't bother with winning by just 1 run. Of their 25 overall victories, 21 have been by at least 2 runs, including the last 10 in a row.

ATS records: Diamondbacks 23-21 | Dodgers 21-22

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over is 11-9-1 in games at Dodger Stadium. The Under is 5-3 in Kelly's starts for the D-backs.

PASS. The situation is just too uncertain with L.A. making this a bullpen game.

O/U records: Diamondbacks 23-21 | Dodgers 22-20-1

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JOHNNY'S RECORDW-LSPROI
2021 MLB

47-46-2

14-16-1

-4.845

2020 MLB

80-59-1

39-21

+24.79

2021 (all sports)

150-131-3

63-57-1

+8.705

*

- SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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