Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction
The Colorado Rockies (19-29) look for their fifth win in a row when they face the New York Mets (21-20) Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Rockies vs Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Kyle Freeland is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He will be making his first start of the season after missing time with a shoulder strain. In 2020, Freeland went 2-3 with a 4.33 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 70 2/3 IP over 13 starts. He got up to 6 IP and 79 pitches in his final rehab start. So he should be able to work fairly deep into the game if he's pitching well.
RHP Jacob deGrom is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 3-2 with a 0.68 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, 14.6 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 in 40 IP over six starts. deGrom has allowed a total of just 3 ER in his six starts, while whiffing 14 or more batters three times already. He has been out of action since May 9 due to side tightness and tossed 41 pitches across three scoreless innings in his lone rehab start.
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Rockies at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Rockies +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Mets -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Rockies +1.5 (-105) | Mets -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under : 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Mets 5, Rockies 2
Money line (ML)
The Mets have their ace back on the mound and are facing a Colorado offense that is dead last in the league in runs per game on the road (2.79). But with several regulars on the IL, the Mets are averaging even less than that in their last eight games (2.67 runs per game).
The Mets should win, but given the weak lineup they are running out there every night and the fact deGrom can't be counted on for a heavy workload, the price is a little too steep. PASS on the money line.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The current version of the Met offense isn't a great bet to put up a lot of runs. But deGrom should completely shut down the Rockies while he's in there, and this is quite the gap between money line and run line. There is value in siding with METS -1.5 (-115).
Over/Under (O/U)
Neither team appears primed for a big offensive day, as the Rockies are not good away from Coors, and the Mets have a lot of players out due to injury. But with deGrom unlikely to go deep into the game, this total seems too low. We'll lean UNDER 6 (+100).
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