Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction
The Toronto Blue Jays (23-23) and New York Yankees (28-19) kick off a three-game AL East series Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Steven Matz is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 5-2 with a 4.69 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9 in 48 IP over 9 starts.
In limited past engagements, Yankee batters own an 1.102 OPS and .349 isolated power against the veteran lefty.
RHP Corey Kluber is the projected starter for the Yankees. He is 4-2 with a 2.86 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 8.9 K/9, and 3.6 BB/9 in 50 1/3 IP over 9 starts.
Kluber is coming off his Wednesday no-hitter at Texas. The no-hitter - the first of his career and the Yankees' first since 1999 - included a lone walk and nine strikeouts. The 35-year-old right-hander owns a fine 1.78 ERA over his last 5 starts. In 22 1/3 home innings this season, he has logged a 2.01 ERA.
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Blue Jays at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Blue Jays +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4
Money line (ML)
The Yanks enter this series on a six-game win streak, and that includes New York taking 3-of-4 from the Rangers in Arlington, Texas, last week. Starting pitching has been at the forefront of the Yankees' current streak and of the club being 19-6 since losing on April 26.
The Blue Jays might be glad to be on the road after an awful home stand against the Phillies, Red Sox, and Rays. Toronto went 3-7 over that stand, allowing 6.0 runs per game. They head into Tuesday's affair at Yankee Stadium having lost six in a row. The Jays are 9-5 in their last 14 road tilts.
The best side in this one is a money line play on the visiting nine. Its a play pegging Matz as better than his surface numbers and Kluber as worse than his. But its also a play into the teeth of both six-game streaks and not one fully vested on the confidence meter.
Consider a partial-unit layout on TORONTO (+145).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
BLUE JAYS +1.5 (-135) sets up as decent play. Consider holding off and pouncing on a favorable line move late. The Jays and a tag near -125 would make for some nice cushion.
Over/Under (O/U)
An outward breeze in the forecast, coupled with the offensive firepower of these two clubs, has the total likely a bit overcooked. The Yankees' top-shelf bullpen and some Toronto fade bias on Statcast and situational "luck" factors (.342 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations, for example) make for some value in going low.
BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-115).
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