St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

The St. Louis Cardinals (30-23) begin a three-game set with the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-22) Memorial Day at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

St. Louis had a four-game winning streak snapped Sunday by the Arizona Diamondbacks but won the series 3-1 and is 5-5 over the past 10 games.

L.A. lost the final three games of a four-game series against the San Francisco Giants following a stretch where the Dodgers won 9 of 10 games.

Season series: 0-0.

RHP Jack Flaherty makes his 10th start for the Cardinals. Flaherty is 8-1 with a 2.84 ERA (57 IP, 18 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 this year.

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• Last outing: Loss, 8-3, in 3 2/3 IP with 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 3 K Tuesday at Chicago White Sox.
• Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1 with a 1.08 ERA (25 IP, 3 ER), 0.68 WHIP, and 13.0 K/9 across 4 starts.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 46 at-bats with a .087/.176/.087 slash line, 21/4 K/BB, 0 HR and 0 RBI.

RHP Trevor Bauer is the projected starter for the Dodgers. Bauer is 5-3 with a 2.07 ERA (69 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 over 11 starts.

• Last outing: Loss, 5-2, in 6 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 3 K at Houston Astros Wednesday.
• Career vs. Cardinals: 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.50 WHIP and 11.9 K/9 across 2 starts.
  • vs. Cardinals on the current roster: 25 at-bats with a .360/.385/.640 slash line, 7/1 K/BB, 1 HR and 6 RBIs.

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Cardinals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Cardinals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
• Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

Slight "LEAN" to the CARDINALS (+145) FIRST 5 INNINGS because of how well Flaherty has pitched vs. these Dodger hitters, and Bauer's numbers being not so good in his two appearances against St. Louis.

Bauer's last start vs. the Cardinals was in August 2019 during his two-season stint with the Cincinnati Reds but it was one of the worst starts of Bauer's 2019 campaign.

St. Louis's lineup had the highest hard-hit rate and exit velocity of any of Bauer's 2019 opponents and Bauer's 9.46 FIP in that start was the second-highest of his season.

A tiny wager on CARDINALS (+145) FIRST 5 INNINGS is the play because St. Louis's First 5 Innings run line is a sharper play and neither bullpen can be trusted.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the CARDINALS +0.5 (-110) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit for the aforementioned rationale.

Flaherty is a Southern Californian native, has pitched immaculately in his few outings vs. the Dodgers, and can be trusted to get back on track after taking his first loss of the season in his last start.

Over/Under (O/U)

"LEAN" to the UNDER 3.5 (-120) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit because Bauer has been great at Dodger Stadium and these bullpens are surprisingly terrible given their teams' records.

In Dodger Stadium, Bauer is 3-0 with 0.90 ERA (20 IP, 2 ER), 0.50 WHIP and 12.6 K/9 in three starts this season.

Also, St. Louis's bullpen has the worst BB/K rate, SIERA, and xFIP in the major league and L.A.'s bullpen leads the majors in blown saves (14) so, again, we want to keep our wager within the First 5 Innings.

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