Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

The Minnesota Twins (22-32) and the Baltimore Orioles (18-37) play the rubber match of a three-game series Wednesday. First pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Twins vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Twins lead 4-1

Baltimore snapped a 14-game skid with 7-4 victory Tuesday. The win also ended an 0-for-16 personal skid vs. Minnesota, dating back to 2018.

RHP Randy Dobnak is Wednesday's projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 1-4 with a 6.49 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 2 starts and 7 relief appearances this season.

• Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 8-3 home defeat to Kansas City Royals Friday
• 2021 starts: 1-1, 4.50 ERA (12 IP, 6 ER), 12 H, 3 BB, 8 K
• Career vs. Orioles: No appearances

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RHP Matt Harvey is the Orioles' projected starter. He is 3-6 with a 6.84 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 11 starts. This will be a bullpen game for Baltimore as Harvey is pitching on three days' rest and is expected to be replaced early.

• Last outing: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 7-4 setback at Chicago White Sox Saturday
• Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 7.59 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 3 BB, 7 K in 2 starts

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Twins at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:43 a.m. ET.

• Money line : Twins -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Orioles +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
• Against the spread/ATS : Twins -1.5 (+105) | Orioles +1.5 (-125)
• Over/Under : 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Twins 8, Orioles 4

Money line (ML)

MINNESOTA (- 155) is the way to go. The last time Baltimore won two games in a row was April 30 and May 1. Starting Harvey isn't the answer.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. While the projection calls for a Minnesota 4-run victory, the Twins are the worst MLB team against the spread through this point of the season. It's no surprise that the Orioles aren't much better.

ATS records: Twins 17-37 | Orioles 23-32

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 9.5 (- 110) is the STRONGEST PLAY - 1½ times your usual wager. First off, Minnesota is the best Over team in the majors. The Over is 10-2-1 in the Twins' last 13 games and 14-3-1 in their last 18.

Second, Harvey has yielded 37 earned runs this season, tied for most in the AL. The "Dark Knight" has allowed at least 5 runs in each of his last 4 starts, going 0-4 with a 15.15 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 23 ER).

Third, both bullpens are dreadful. The Orioles' bullpen is tied for the AL's fourth worst with a 4.50 ERA; the Twins' is even worse, posting a 4.69 ERA to rank 13th.

O/U records: Twins 35-17-2 | Orioles 25-29-1

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