New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

The New York Mets (27-22) and San Diego Padres (35-23) play Game 2 of a four-game series Friday at Petco Park. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Mets vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 1-0

San Diego took Thursday's opener 4-3. The Padres jumped out to a 4-0 lead after five innings and held on to snap a four-game skid.

Mets LHP Joey Lucchesi is projected to face his former club for the first time in his career Friday. The four-year veteran, who pitched his first three years with the Padres, is 1-3 with a 6.56 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 5 starts and 3 relief appearances this season.

• Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K vs. visiting Colorado Rockies May 27 - Mets won 4-2
• 2021 starts: 0-2, 7.16 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 5 starts

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LHP Blake Snell is expected to start for the Padres. He is 1-2 with a 5.55 ERA (47 IP, 29 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 13.4 K/9 and 5.9 BB/9 in 11 starts.

• Last outing: Loss, 3 IP, 7 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 7-4 setback at Houston Astros Sunday
• Career vs. Mets: 1-1, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 6 BB, 18 K in 2 starts

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Mets at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.

• Money line : Mets +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS : Mets +1.5 (-145) | Padres -1.5 (+120)
• Over/Under : 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Mets 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

Despite this column losing on the Mets Thursday, NEW YORK (+ 150) is the STRONGEST PLAY (again) - 1½ times your usual wager.

Lucchesi will be pitching with a chip on his shoulder, looking to show the Padres they erred by trading him away in the offseason.

Snell, the 2018 AL Cy Young winner and former Tampa Bay Rays ace, has been mediocre in his first season with San Diego. In his last two starts, he has a 16.20 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 12 ER).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back the METS +1.5 (- 145) to WIN A QUARTER UNIT. Thursday's result improved New York to 13-4 ATS as underdogs and 10-4 ATS as road dogs.

ATS records: Mets 23-26 | Padres 31-27

Over/Under (O/U)

Even though my projected score is 4-3, bet UNDER 7 (- 110) to WIN A QUARTER UNIT. The Under is 7-2 when umpire Quinn Wolcott, who is scheduled to call ball and strikes, is behind the plate.

The Under is also 17-12 at Petco Park this season.

O/U records: Mets 22-23-2 | Padres 30-27-1

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