Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

The Arizona Diamondbacks (20-39) face the Milwaukee Brewers (31-26) Saturday for the third game in a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-6 with a 5.04 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 64 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

Arizona has not won in any of his last five starts; he's logged at least 6 IP in his last four.

RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 4-2 with a 1.27 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 71 IP over 11 starts.

Woodruff has delivered 10 consecutive quality starts, allowing a total of just 7 earned runs through that stretch.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

• Money line : Diamondbacks +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Brewers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS : Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110) | Brewers -1.5 (-110)
• Over/Under : 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Brewers 5, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

The numbers are overwhelming in the Brewers' favor. They have one of the best pitchers this season on the mound and are facing a team that has lost 15 straight games on the road and 17 of their last 19 games overall.

The Brewers have won 7 of their last 8 games themselves, and are 8-3 overall when Woodruff starts.

Take the BREWERS (-225).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Milwaukee is 31-26 ATS while Arizona is 30-29 ATS. The Brewers have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 games and have won by at least two runs in three of Woodruff's last four outings.

The Diamondbacks are 4-5 ATS in their last nine games.

Take BREWERS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Seven of the last eight games for Arizona have gone Over the total.

But in Woodruff's last five starts for the Brewers, only one has had gone for more than seven runs, while three of their last five overall have gone Under.

Arizona can give up runs but with Woodruff not allowing them, take UNDER 7.5 (-110).

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