UFC Fight Night 189: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Augusto Sakai odds, picks and prediction
In a heavyweight bout in Saturday's main event, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Augusto Sakai meet at UFC Fight Night 189 - also known as UFC on ESPN+ 47 and UFC Vegas 28 - at the UFC's APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 189 Rozenstruik vs. Sakai odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night 189 Rozenstruik vs. Sakai: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line) : Sakai +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rozenstruik -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Over/Under : 2.5 rounds (Over -110 | Under -110)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +175 | No -225)
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UFC Fight Night 189 Rozenstruik vs. Sakai: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Rozenstruik 11-2-0 | Sakai 15-2-1
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
ROZENSTRUIK (-125) heads into this one with losses in two of the past three fights, although there is nothing to be ashamed about suffering losses to Francis Ngannou and Ciryl Gane, two of the best fighters in the division right now.
The lights were too bright for "Bigi Boy" at UFC 249, as Ngannou dropped Rozenstruik in just 20 seconds. He bounced back with a KO/TKO of his own against Junior Dos Santos, another solid fighter, at UFC 252.
Rozenstruik looked a little tentative against Gane, falling by unanimous decision in the main event, as he just never seemed to get going. Gane took it too him, and Rozenstruik was just very inactive, slow and methodical - even by heavyweight standards.
Sakai was dropped by Alistair Overeem last time out Sept. 5, 2020, losing via KO/TKO in the fifth round. He has never lost two fights in a row in his career, but there is a first time for everything.
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Over/Under (O/U)
No (-225): 'Will the fight go the distance?' is a little expensive, and it is worth a play if you like to risk big amounts for small gains. For me, personally, it's a little over my personal limit. I'd play UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (-185), which is still a little too steep for my liking, but more palatable.
In addition, I am a big fan of the Suriname fighter. I am not a big fan of Bruce Buffer not knowing how to pronounce the fighter's native land, but that's neither here nor there. Anyway, I am feeling ROZENSTRUIK BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+145) on the 7-way line at plus-money for a much better value than just playing him straight up. It's slightly more profitable than the 5-way line of Rozenstruik by KO/TKO, submission or DQ (+135). He has never had a win or submission result in 13 professional bouts, so no need to include it and pay for something you won't use.
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