UFC Fight Night 189: Roman Dolidze vs. Laureano Staropoli odds, picks and prediction
In a middleweight bout on Saturday's main card, Roman Dolidze and Laureano Staropoli meet at UFC Fight Night 189 - also known as UFC on ESPN+ 47 and UFC Vegas 28 - at the UFC's APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 189 Dolidze vs. Staropoli odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night 189 Dolidze vs. Staropoli: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line) : Dolidze -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Staropoli +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Over/Under : 1.5 rounds (Over -300 | Under +240)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -150 | No +125)
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UFC Fight Night 189 Dolidze vs. Staropoli: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Dolidze 8-1-0 | Staropoli 9-3-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
DOLIDZE (-150) is a moderate favorite to top Staropoli (+125) here, and the biggest reason is his reach advantage. He has a reach of 76 inches to just 71.5 inches for Staropoli, who will be kept at arm's length in this fight. While Staropoli holds a 4.40-to-2.98 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, that is nearly a wash when you factor in the significant strikes accuracy percentage where Dolidze holds a 62.91-to-35.71 percent lead.
Dolidze is also a much better scrapper on the mat, and the heel hook and rear-naked choke are his specialties. However, lately he has simply been a knockout artist winning by KO/TKO in four of his past six professional fights.
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Over/Under (O/U)
While Dolidze has gotten plenty of finishes, he has gone the distance in his past two fights, including his first professional loss to Trevin Giles last time out March 20.
As far as Staropoli is concerned, all four of his fights at the UFC level have ended up going the distance with two wins and two losses via unanimous decision. As such, YES (-150): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the way to go in this bout. I also like DOLIDZE BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+180) on the 7-way line for a chance to nearly double up.
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