UFC Fight Night 189: Tom Breese vs. Antonio Arroyo odds, picks and prediction
In a middleweight bout on Saturday's main card, Tom Breese and Antonio Arroyo meet at UFC Fight Night 189 - also known as UFC on ESPN+ 47 and UFC Vegas 28 - at the UFC's APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 189 Breese vs. Arroyo odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET.
UFC Fight Night 189 Breese vs. Arroyo: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line) : Breese -265 (bet $265 to win $100) | Arroyo +215 (bet $100 to win $215)
- Over/Under : 1.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +145)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +140 | No -165)
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UFC Fight Night 189 Breese vs. Arroyo: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Breese 12-3-0 | Arroyo 9-4-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
The Englishman Breese (-265) has alternated wins and losses in his past six fights, and he is coming off a second-round submission loss to Omari Akhmedov Jan. 20 on the Chiesa-Magny card.
As such, Breese is a risky play at nearly three times your potential return; however, Arroyo (+215) is on a two-bout skid, losing by unanimous decision in each of the outings.
Instead of a straight-up play, take BREESE BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+130) for a much better value.
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Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-175) is the way to go here, as even in a pair of losses, Arroyo hung around and made it to the judges' decision.
I also like NO (-165): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE, as I believe Breese is able to drop Arroyo late in the second or sometime in the third.
If you're not feeling Breese as the winner due to his erratic win-loss run lately, play KO/TKO/DQ (+115) for the fight finish without declaring a winner.
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