Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction
The Atlanta Braves (29-30) and Philadelphia Phillies (29-31) close out a three-game series Thursday at 1:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Braves vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Ian Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 4-3 with a 3.64 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.9 K/9, and 3.8 BB/9 in 59 1/3 IP over 11 starts.
Anderson has yielded eight runs in his last 8 1/3 IP, but he's been undone mostly by rates around the margins (batting average on balls in play, left-on-base rate, etc.). He has already faced Philadelphia three times this season (4.41 ERA in 16 IP).
RHP Zack Wheeler is the projected starter for the Phillies. He is 4-3 with a 2.51 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 10.9 K/9, and 2.0 BB/9 in 82 1/3 IP over 12 starts.
Wheeler owns a nifty 2.08 ERA (with a 14.9% swinging-strike rate) over his last five turns. He's posted a sub-2.25 ERA in four starts against Atlanta the last two seasons.
Follow every MLB game: Latest MLB scores, stats, schedules and standings.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team's money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you'll get up to $600 in free bets.Bet now!
Braves at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:54 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Braves 4, Phillies 3
Money line (ML)
The Phillies have fallen off since playing well over the front half of May. Heading into Wednesday night, they were 7-13 since May 15.
Right-handers swing the Phillies around to their worst platoon splits (.680 OPS). Wheeler is coming off back-to-back 100-pitch games and has been a bit batting-average-on-balls-in-play fortunate of late (.275 BABIP for the season).
BACK THE BRAVES (+115).
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition.Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Stick with the ML play on the Braves; PASS on the added juice here.
Over/Under (O/U)
Atlanta on the road is a lesser brand of offense (.699 OPS). Add in some upside faith in both bullpens, then mix in a low-humidity, wind-in-from-right get-away day. BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (+100).
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick'em contests.Play now!
Bet on this game now atBetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.