Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction
The Colorado Rockies (25-38) and Cincinnati Reds (29-31) match up Friday in the first game of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Rockies vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Kyle Freeland is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA, 2.08 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 across 13 IP over 3 starts. Freeland kicked off his season May 25.
He has just 3 starts and gave up 5 earned runs last time out. Two of those three appearances came against teams at the top of their respective division.
RHP Tyler Mahle is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 5-2 with a 3.32 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP over 12 starts.
Mahle's 5 wins are tied for the most on the team this season. Since pitching two innings in a game in which the San Francisco Giants put up 19 runs on the Reds, Mahle has been phenomenal with just 2 earned runs allowed over 17 1/3 innings.
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Rockies at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Rockies +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Reds -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Rockies +1.5 (-110) | Reds -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under : 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Reds 7, Rockies 3
Money line (ML)
PASS on the money line because it's a bit too favorable for Cincinnati. The Rockies are by far the worst road team in MLB at 5-24.
2B Ryan McMahon has been the Rockies' best hitter this season, but he's been cold lately. McMahon hasn't his a home run in 13 games and has just four hits in his last seven games.
As for the Reds' bats, Cincinnati has the second-fewest at-bats against left-handed pitchers is 25th with a .667 team OPS in the split. It could spell trouble for the Reds, but playing for a fourth straight day at home while Colorado was in Miami last night could help their cause.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
BETREDS -1.5 (-110) because the pitching difference is too great to overlook.
Mahle has been on fire while Freeland is coming off a difficult outing. Combine that with the Rockies' horrible road record, and the Reds should be able to take care of business.
Over/Under (O/U)
"LEAN" to the OVER 9 (-120) because both teams have allowed monster performances this season. Coming off allowing 11 runs to the Marlins Thursday, the Rockies remain on the road, and it could continue to be ugly.
The Reds have given up 10-plus runs multiple times this season as well. While Mahle has been great, he has given up 5 earned runs twice in his last seven starts. Another performance like that and the Over is hitting easily.
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