Sports

UFC 263: Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori odds, picks and prediction

Joe Williams

Sportsbook Wire

In a middleweight title bout in Saturday's co-main event, Israel Adesanya and Marvin Vettori meet at UFC 263 at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Below, we analyze the UFC 263 Adesanya vs. Vettori odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The early prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ ESPN+, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET, and the main card beginning at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view.

UFC 263 Adesanya vs. Vettori: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:59 a.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line) : Adesanya -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Vettori +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
Over/Under : 4.5 rounds (Over -140 | Under +115)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -135 | No +110)

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UFC 263 Adesanya vs. Vettori: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Adesanya 20-1-0 | Vettori 17-4-1

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

As is the theme on this fight card, we get another rematch. However, Adesanya (-275) and Vettori (+210) haven't fought since April 14, 2018, a split decision in favor of "The Last Stylebender".

Adesanya won that night via split-decision, and he'll get it done in his return to the middleweight division.

Also see:

Adesanya lost the light heavyweight strap to Jan Blachowicz last time out at UFC 259 via unanimous decision. It was his first loss in 21 professional bouts, including nine at the UFC level.

Look for ADESANYA BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+175) on the 5-way line to cash. He is hungry, and he holds a six-inch reach advantage which will keep Vettori at a distance.

As long as Adesanya can avoid going down to the canvas, where Vettori holds a slight advantage, he'll keep his middleweight belt.

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Over/Under (O/U)

This fight is not going the distance. I like NO +110: WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? for a decent value at plus-money.

In fact, I like UNDER 3.5 ROUNDS (+145) for a small-unit play, as I think Adesanya comes out on a mission after his first-ever loss as a pro.

Playing ADESANYA IN ROUND 3 (+1000) and ADESANYA IN ROUND 4 (+1800) in a two-round betting block will pay off handsomely if he can drop "The Italian Dream" in either Round 3 or 4. Yes, you'll lose one end, but still, be very far ahead.

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