Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

The Washington Nationals (34-36) and Philadelphia Phillies (34-36) play the finale of a two-game set Wednesday with a 1:05 p.m. ET first pitch at Citizens Bank Park. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Erick Fedde is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 4-4 with a 3.33 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 51 1/3 IP over 10 starts.

Fedde has two wins and a no-decision in his last three starts, taking his most recent loss four starts back on May 11. Unfortunately, that loss came against these same Phillies when he allowed 3 ER, 5 H and 3 BB in just 5 IP.

RHP Vince Velasquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 2-2 with a 4.44 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9 in 52 2/3 IP over 10 starts and 4 relief appearances.

Velasquez coughed up 4 R(3 ER) on 4 H and 4 BB over 4 IP in a loss at San Francisco Friday and he hasn't won in four starts since May 25 in Miami. He allowed 3 ER, 4 H and 1 BB with 4 K over 4 IP in a no-decision against the Nats June 6.

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Nationals at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:07 a.m. ET.

• Money line : Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS : Nationals -1.5 (+150) | Phillies +1.5 (-185)
• Over/Under : 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

NATIONALS (-105) are the play in the finale of this quick, testy set. We saw fireworks on Tuesday involving Phillies manager Joe Girardi and Nationals hurler Max Scherzer during a requested check for a foreign substance - the third time in the game Scherzer had been checked. It will be interesting to see if it spills over into Wednesday.

Washington won Tuesday's game by a 3-2 count, and Philadelphia is now just 2-5 across their last seven overall. Meanwhile, the Nats are red-hot, winners of three in a row and eight of their last nine. Fedde has been electric lately too, so back the visitors.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS -1.5 (+150) are worth a roll of the dice at this good price. While Tuesday's win was just a one-run game, Washington has won by two or more runs in four of their past six victories.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean here. It cashed Tuesday with a combined total of five runs, and the Under is 5-1 across the last six for the Nats.

The Under is also 6-2 across the past eight for Philadelphia. More importantly, the Under has hit in six of the seven meetings between these teams this season.

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