Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction
The Houston Astros (47-28) and Detroit Tigers (32-43) match up Friday with a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Comerica Park. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Astros vs. Tigersodds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Framber Valdez is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 4-0 with a 1.67 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 32 1/3 IP over five starts.
Valdez has been outstanding for the Astros so far this season and has won his last four starts. He's pitched at least 7 innings and allowed no more than 2 earned runs in that stretch, going deep into games and taking pressure off the bullpen.
He is 0-0 with a 7.20 ERA in one start and one relief appearance against the Tigers in his career.
RHP Wily Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in one start and one relief appearance. He has recorded 3 BB and 3 K in 6 1/3 IP.
Peralta allowed 5 runs in 5 innings while recording just 2 strikeouts in his last start Saturday at the Los Angeles Angels.
He is 0-1 with an 8.59 ERA in one start and three relief appearances against the Astros in his career.
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Astros at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:26 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Astros -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Tigers +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
- Against the spread/ATS : Astros -2.5 (-110) | Tigers +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under : 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Astros 8, Tigers 3
Money line (ML)
The Astros extended their winning streak to 11 games on Thursday night with a 12-3 victory over the Tigers. They've also covered the spread in each of their last 11 games, a dominant stretch by both the offense and pitching staff.
At -275 there isn't enough value in the money line so I would PASS. The spread is where the better risk/reward lies.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Astros have been blowing opponents out lately, winning four of their last five games by at least six runs, and their last two by a combined score of 25-3. They should cover the spread again tonight on the road against the Tigers.
Bet the ASTROS -2.5 (-110) to win by at least three runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
The total has gone Over in nine of the Astros' last 11 games during their win streak, with the total going Over in six of the Tigers' last eight games as well.
The Astros will have to do most of the heavy lifting tonight with Valdez on the mound and Detroit not expected to score many runs. However, I'm confident in Houston scoring at least seven or eight runs, as it has in five of its last six games. Bet the OVER 9.5 (-110).
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